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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.89+5.72vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston4.34+6.94vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University4.78+4.04vs Predicted
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4Brown University4.49+3.98vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63+2.46vs Predicted
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6Stanford University4.05+3.97vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+4.06vs Predicted
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8Yale University4.19+1.30vs Predicted
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9Harvard University4.52-1.15vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College4.15-0.19vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College4.06-0.93vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University3.92-1.05vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont3.62-1.34vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University3.70-2.87vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.70-3.56vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49-7.84vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy3.66-5.19vs Predicted
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18Boston University4.07-8.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.72Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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8.94College of Charleston4.340.1%1st Place
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7.04Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
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7.98Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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7.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
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9.97Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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11.06St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.0%1st Place
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9.3Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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7.85Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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9.81SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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10.07Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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10.95Salve Regina University3.920.0%1st Place
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11.66University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
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11.13Old Dominion University3.700.0%1st Place
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11.44Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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8.16Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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11.81U. S. Naval Academy3.660.0%1st Place
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9.66Boston University4.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Sinks | 9.9% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Jackson Benvenutti | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Cy Thompson | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Fred Strammer | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Samuel Ingham | 8.1% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Kevin Laube | 5.1% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% |
| Megan Magill | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 8.5% |
| Joseph Morris | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% |
| Alan Palmer | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Shawn Murray | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.9% |
| Sam Williams | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.7% |
| Coleman Bowen | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 13.0% |
| Brady Stagg | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 10.6% |
| Massimo Soriano | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 12.0% |
| Samuel Blouin | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Jason Carminati | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 14.2% |
| Ben Greenfield | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.