← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Indiana University0.20+3.62vs Predicted
-
2Purdue University-0.49+2.97vs Predicted
-
3Hope College-0.77+4.24vs Predicted
-
4University of Saint Thomas-0.03+1.53vs Predicted
-
5Marquette University-0.09+0.48vs Predicted
-
6Northwestern University-0.55+0.62vs Predicted
-
7University of Michigan-1.34+2.12vs Predicted
-
8Washington University-0.80-0.75vs Predicted
-
9Northwestern University-1.16-0.51vs Predicted
-
10Michigan State University-0.44-3.76vs Predicted
-
11University of Wisconsin-1.89-0.87vs Predicted
-
12University of Chicago0.55-8.09vs Predicted
-
13Lake Forest College-2.49-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.62Indiana University0.2014.2%1st Place
-
4.97Purdue University-0.4912.3%1st Place
-
7.24Hope College-0.774.5%1st Place
-
5.53University of Saint Thomas-0.0311.2%1st Place
-
5.48Marquette University-0.0911.3%1st Place
-
6.62Northwestern University-0.556.9%1st Place
-
9.12University of Michigan-1.342.5%1st Place
-
7.25Washington University-0.805.8%1st Place
-
8.49Northwestern University-1.162.9%1st Place
-
6.24Michigan State University-0.447.5%1st Place
-
10.13University of Wisconsin-1.891.2%1st Place
-
3.91University of Chicago0.5518.8%1st Place
-
11.39Lake Forest College-2.491.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunny Sun | 14.2% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nok In Chan | 12.3% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Ella Sligh | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 1.9% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 11.2% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Eli Erling | 11.3% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Samantha Forgosh | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 1.2% |
| Calistoga Frerker | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 13.0% | 17.2% | 17.2% | 10.0% |
| Jacob Hsia | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 6.3% | 2.5% |
| Lucas Hurtado | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 14.6% | 13.2% | 6.9% |
| Ryan Dodge | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Jack Cropper | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 13.5% | 24.9% | 23.3% |
| James Leavitt | 18.8% | 17.5% | 15.0% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Van Baghdasaryan | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 17.8% | 52.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.