← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.84+3.16vs Predicted
-
2Villanova University1.37+3.28vs Predicted
-
3University of Pennsylvania1.95+0.91vs Predicted
-
4SUNY Stony Brook0.90+2.56vs Predicted
-
5Monmouth University0.53+2.64vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Naval Academy2.50-3.10vs Predicted
-
7Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-1.09vs Predicted
-
8Princeton University0.05+1.02vs Predicted
-
9University of Delaware-0.95+2.62vs Predicted
-
10Drexel University0.72-2.81vs Predicted
-
11Rutgers University-0.94+0.55vs Predicted
-
12Ocean County College-1.23+0.42vs Predicted
-
13Washington College0.23-4.32vs Predicted
-
14Webb Institute-0.47-3.66vs Predicted
-
15Penn State University-1.57-2.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.840.2%1st Place
-
5.28Villanova University1.370.1%1st Place
-
3.91University of Pennsylvania1.950.2%1st Place
-
6.56SUNY Stony Brook0.900.1%1st Place
-
7.64Monmouth University0.530.0%1st Place
-
2.9U. S. Naval Academy2.500.3%1st Place
-
5.91Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
-
9.02Princeton University0.050.0%1st Place
-
11.62University of Delaware-0.950.0%1st Place
-
7.19Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
-
11.55Rutgers University-0.940.0%1st Place
-
12.42Ocean County College-1.230.0%1st Place
-
8.68Washington College0.230.0%1st Place
-
10.34Webb Institute-0.470.0%1st Place
-
12.82Penn State University-1.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kieran Cullen | 15.4% | 15.7% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Cornog | 8.4% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Gallagher | 17.1% | 15.5% | 16.4% | 14.6% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Kayleigh Godfrey | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Gartner | 27.7% | 24.1% | 16.6% | 12.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Zak Dasaro | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Martha Diezemann | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 13.6% | 15.7% | 19.5% | 12.9% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Jeremy Welsch | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 16.1% | 17.4% | 15.4% |
| Lauren Pepsny | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 15.9% | 22.7% | 24.3% |
| Andrew Vernon | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 14.4% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Declan Gaylo | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 15.1% | 16.1% | 9.5% | 5.3% |
| Justin Dillman | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 12.6% | 18.5% | 38.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.