Race 1A

chris-loder

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Julien Guiot 10.9% 12.6% 12.2% 11.2% 9.8% 12.1% 9.1% 7.0% 5.8% 5.1% 1.6% 2.0% 0.4% 0.2%
Max Clapp 19.4% 16.2% 14.5% 12.5% 11.6% 9.7% 6.2% 4.9% 2.2% 1.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Josh Dochoda 17.4% 17.3% 13.7% 12.7% 10.3% 10.7% 7.2% 4.8% 3.0% 1.4% 0.9% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Thomas Harden 14.2% 15.0% 14.9% 12.4% 11.8% 8.8% 8.2% 6.5% 3.7% 2.1% 1.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Thomas Walden 9.9% 11.8% 14.2% 11.8% 13.4% 8.8% 9.6% 7.9% 5.4% 3.7% 1.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Jennifer Killian 3.6% 3.3% 3.9% 5.5% 5.3% 7.2% 7.9% 9.7% 10.1% 9.3% 12.5% 9.4% 9.4% 2.9%
Chris Colbeth 4.4% 4.4% 5.6% 5.3% 7.1% 6.7% 8.6% 8.4% 11.0% 9.1% 11.6% 10.0% 6.0% 1.8%
Braden Foster 3.0% 3.9% 3.3% 5.5% 4.4% 6.3% 6.5% 7.8% 6.6% 12.7% 11.3% 12.2% 10.8% 5.7%
Louis Frumer 4.9% 4.4% 4.5% 5.4% 7.2% 6.7% 9.0% 11.0% 12.5% 9.0% 10.3% 8.0% 5.4% 1.7%
Noah Brayer 1.6% 0.9% 1.8% 2.1% 1.6% 2.7% 2.8% 5.2% 6.1% 9.3% 10.1% 13.4% 23.1% 19.3%
Ben Brown 4.3% 4.0% 4.0% 6.1% 7.5% 8.3% 8.0% 8.7% 11.6% 10.5% 9.9% 8.2% 7.4% 1.5%
Nicholas Memoli 2.3% 2.5% 2.9% 4.7% 3.7% 4.4% 7.1% 7.7% 9.8% 11.1% 10.5% 13.4% 13.1% 6.8%
Nathan Borovick 3.7% 3.1% 3.5% 4.1% 5.3% 6.7% 8.0% 8.5% 9.4% 11.2% 11.1% 12.6% 9.7% 3.1%
Cole Cleveland 0.4% 0.6% 1.0% 0.7% 1.0% 0.9% 1.8% 1.9% 2.8% 3.9% 6.1% 8.0% 14.0% 56.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.