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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.91+3.11vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.92+1.98vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.48+2.20vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.39+4.40vs Predicted
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5Bentley University1.03+4.48vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.59-1.10vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.58+0.86vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.80-3.58vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College1.52-1.01vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.42-1.50vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.15-1.83vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire1.23-2.81vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy-0.47+0.20vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.45-2.90vs Predicted
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15Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.19-2.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.11Boston University2.910.2%1st Place
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3.98Dartmouth College2.920.2%1st Place
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5.2Tufts University2.480.1%1st Place
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8.4Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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9.48Bentley University1.030.0%1st Place
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4.9Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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7.86Bowdoin College1.580.1%1st Place
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4.42University of Vermont2.800.2%1st Place
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7.99Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
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8.5Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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9.17Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.150.0%1st Place
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9.19University of New Hampshire1.230.0%1st Place
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13.2Maine Maritime Academy-0.470.0%1st Place
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11.1University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.450.0%1st Place
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12.52Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Dochoda | 17.8% | 16.6% | 13.7% | 15.3% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Clapp | 17.1% | 18.9% | 16.0% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julien Guiot | 11.9% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Killian | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 1.4% |
| Nicholas Memoli | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 15.0% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 3.7% |
| Thomas Walden | 11.0% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Louis Frumer | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Thomas Harden | 15.5% | 14.7% | 14.6% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brown | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Chris Colbeth | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
| Braden Foster | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 6.9% | 3.8% |
| Nathan Borovick | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 6.8% | 1.9% |
| Cole Cleveland | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 21.5% | 44.9% |
| Noah Brayer | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 16.5% | 18.8% | 10.0% |
| Frank Egan | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 24.1% | 31.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.