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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.77+5.36vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.47+5.21vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.60+0.93vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.33+3.78vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.13+0.39vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.79+0.33vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College1.26+0.98vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire0.49+2.35vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy1.82-2.84vs Predicted
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10Bentley University1.49-2.56vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.62-4.05vs Predicted
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12Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.35+2.08vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.76-6.32vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.41-1.55vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.23-4.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.36University of Vermont1.770.1%1st Place
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7.21Tufts University1.470.1%1st Place
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3.93Boston University2.600.2%1st Place
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7.78Dartmouth College1.330.1%1st Place
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5.39Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
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6.33Northeastern University1.790.1%1st Place
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7.98Middlebury College1.260.1%1st Place
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10.35University of New Hampshire0.490.0%1st Place
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6.16Maine Maritime Academy1.820.1%1st Place
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7.44Bentley University1.490.1%1st Place
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6.95Salve Regina University1.620.1%1st Place
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14.08Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.350.0%1st Place
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6.68Bowdoin College1.760.1%1st Place
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12.45University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.410.0%1st Place
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10.91Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vincent Yannelli | 9.2% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Aaron Klein | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Kyle Dochoda | 20.3% | 16.6% | 15.5% | 12.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Eberstadt-Beattie | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Jake Rizika | 11.0% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Bresnick | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Baskin | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 0.6% |
| Jenna Hannafin | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 19.3% | 13.5% | 4.8% |
| Geoffrey Knight | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Peter Lillys | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Bridget Lawless | 6.3% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Adam Camilli | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 6.3% | 16.7% | 66.7% |
| Rowan Byrne | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Griffin Brayer | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 10.5% | 15.9% | 31.6% | 20.1% |
| Matthew Schaefer | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 8.6% | 13.2% | 19.0% | 21.6% | 5.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.