← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.35+12.78vs Predicted
-
2University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.41+10.39vs Predicted
-
3Maine Maritime Academy1.82+3.16vs Predicted
-
4University of New Hampshire0.49+6.27vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.23+6.04vs Predicted
-
6Bowdoin College1.76+0.46vs Predicted
-
7Bentley University1.49+0.21vs Predicted
-
8Middlebury College1.26+0.06vs Predicted
-
9Northeastern University1.79-2.67vs Predicted
-
10Salve Regina University1.62-3.03vs Predicted
-
11Boston College2.13-5.67vs Predicted
-
12University of Vermont1.77-5.38vs Predicted
-
13Dartmouth College1.33-4.94vs Predicted
-
14Boston University2.60-9.98vs Predicted
-
15Tufts University1.47-7.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
13.78Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.350.0%1st Place
-
12.39University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.410.0%1st Place
-
6.16Maine Maritime Academy1.820.1%1st Place
-
10.27University of New Hampshire0.490.0%1st Place
-
11.04Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.230.0%1st Place
-
6.46Bowdoin College1.760.1%1st Place
-
7.21Bentley University1.490.1%1st Place
-
8.06Middlebury College1.260.0%1st Place
-
6.33Northeastern University1.790.1%1st Place
-
6.97Salve Regina University1.620.1%1st Place
-
5.33Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
-
6.62University of Vermont1.770.1%1st Place
-
8.06Dartmouth College1.330.0%1st Place
-
4.02Boston University2.600.2%1st Place
-
7.31Tufts University1.470.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Camilli | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 15.1% | 62.6% |
| Griffin Brayer | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 15.8% | 30.4% | 21.9% |
| Geoffrey Knight | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Jenna Hannafin | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 17.4% | 15.5% | 4.7% |
| Matthew Schaefer | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 11.6% | 19.2% | 21.0% | 8.7% |
| Rowan Byrne | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Peter Lillys | 8.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Baskin | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 0.5% |
| Zachary Bresnick | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Bridget Lawless | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Jake Rizika | 12.1% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Maxwell Eberstadt-Beattie | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Kyle Dochoda | 20.2% | 16.3% | 15.2% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Klein | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.