Race 1A

north-fall-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Connor Kelter 11.4% 13.6% 16.3% 20.7% 16.5% 12.9% 4.7% 3.0% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hector Guzman 29.8% 22.9% 21.5% 13.2% 7.9% 3.3% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Roberto Stevens 22.5% 21.8% 20.0% 18.0% 10.9% 4.3% 1.9% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
James Reynolds 0.5% 0.8% 0.9% 1.1% 2.8% 4.4% 7.4% 10.8% 14.9% 20.0% 21.4% 12.2% 2.8% 0.0%
Zachary Hill 24.8% 22.9% 21.6% 16.4% 8.1% 4.8% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tyler Rochon 1.7% 3.9% 5.0% 6.5% 10.2% 15.1% 20.2% 15.2% 13.0% 6.5% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Aleks Vagnesr 0.6% 0.3% 1.1% 1.5% 1.9% 2.8% 5.5% 9.9% 11.0% 15.5% 26.9% 17.5% 5.5% 0.0%
Lauren Sullivan 2.7% 3.6% 3.6% 6.2% 11.7% 15.5% 18.5% 17.3% 11.8% 7.3% 1.6% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Liliana Loosbrock 3.8% 6.6% 5.9% 10.5% 18.4% 18.1% 16.4% 10.5% 6.6% 2.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Zachary Warner 1.5% 2.5% 3.0% 4.3% 8.3% 11.6% 14.8% 16.4% 16.7% 13.7% 5.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Kaylie Byrnes 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 1.3% 2.5% 5.7% 5.9% 11.6% 18.1% 20.1% 18.6% 11.4% 3.0% 0.0%
Chloe Headrick 0.1% 0.0% 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.8% 1.2% 1.9% 3.9% 7.3% 11.0% 26.6% 46.2% 0.0%
Brendan McCue 0.1% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.4% 0.7% 1.4% 2.2% 3.0% 7.6% 11.8% 30.2% 42.0% 0.0%
Aleks Vagnesr 0.6% 0.3% 1.1% 1.5% 1.9% 2.8% 5.5% 9.9% 11.0% 15.5% 26.9% 17.5% 5.5% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.