Race 2A

north-fall-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Connor Kelter 11.9% 12.5% 16.7% 21.0% 17.3% 11.0% 6.2% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hector Guzman 29.0% 26.2% 19.3% 13.7% 7.1% 3.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Roberto Stevens 20.7% 24.2% 19.7% 17.9% 11.1% 4.1% 1.6% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Zachary Hill 25.2% 20.8% 23.5% 16.2% 9.3% 3.1% 1.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lauren Sullivan 2.9% 3.6% 3.4% 6.8% 11.6% 15.0% 18.3% 16.0% 12.8% 6.9% 2.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Zachary Warner 1.2% 1.6% 3.9% 4.6% 7.3% 12.8% 15.9% 16.6% 17.9% 11.7% 5.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Aleks Vagnesr 0.5% 0.5% 0.7% 1.1% 3.2% 4.0% 4.7% 7.0% 10.9% 18.2% 25.1% 19.0% 5.1% 0.0%
Liliana Loosbrock 4.7% 5.9% 6.0% 9.4% 18.0% 18.7% 18.0% 12.3% 4.5% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tyler Rochon 2.3% 3.2% 4.3% 6.4% 9.2% 15.2% 18.0% 19.2% 12.1% 6.7% 2.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
James Reynolds 0.7% 0.6% 0.9% 1.9% 2.4% 5.2% 6.0% 9.0% 16.9% 21.4% 20.0% 11.2% 3.8% 0.0%
Kaylie Byrnes 0.7% 0.4% 0.9% 0.8% 2.8% 6.4% 5.9% 11.8% 16.4% 20.6% 20.0% 10.1% 3.2% 0.0%
Chloe Headrick 0.1% 0.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.4% 0.9% 1.6% 1.4% 4.6% 6.0% 10.7% 28.0% 45.7% 0.0%
Brendan McCue 0.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 1.4% 2.4% 3.3% 6.1% 13.2% 30.0% 42.0% 0.0%
Aleks Vagnesr 0.5% 0.5% 0.7% 1.1% 3.2% 4.0% 4.7% 7.0% 10.9% 18.2% 25.1% 19.0% 5.1% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.