Race 3A

north-fall-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Zachary Hill 24.4% 22.9% 22.6% 15.2% 8.6% 4.6% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hector Guzman 28.9% 24.5% 21.2% 13.5% 7.2% 3.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Aleks Vagnesr 0.5% 0.3% 0.8% 0.6% 2.1% 2.0% 5.0% 7.9% 12.7% 18.8% 23.1% 19.3% 6.9% 0.0%
Lauren Sullivan 2.1% 2.3% 4.2% 6.4% 11.4% 17.2% 18.4% 16.1% 12.0% 7.3% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Roberto Stevens 22.7% 23.2% 19.0% 18.4% 9.3% 5.5% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Liliana Loosbrock 4.4% 5.5% 7.2% 10.4% 18.5% 19.0% 15.4% 11.8% 5.6% 1.5% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tyler Rochon 2.3% 4.3% 3.9% 6.1% 11.3% 14.5% 19.0% 17.6% 12.8% 5.5% 2.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Kelter 12.5% 13.4% 15.4% 21.4% 18.8% 10.5% 6.0% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Zachary Warner 1.3% 2.0% 3.6% 4.5% 6.3% 11.3% 16.9% 19.9% 16.1% 11.0% 5.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Kaylie Byrnes 0.4% 0.6% 1.0% 1.9% 3.1% 4.9% 6.1% 9.3% 18.3% 20.2% 20.7% 9.7% 3.8% 0.0%
Chloe Headrick 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.4% 0.7% 1.1% 2.6% 3.4% 8.4% 13.0% 30.4% 39.4% 0.0%
James Reynolds 0.3% 0.7% 0.7% 1.2% 2.7% 5.4% 6.5% 10.0% 15.1% 21.5% 21.0% 10.9% 4.0% 0.0%
Brendan McCue 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.9% 1.5% 2.3% 3.8% 5.8% 11.1% 28.1% 45.5% 0.0%
Aleks Vagnesr 0.5% 0.3% 0.8% 0.6% 2.1% 2.0% 5.0% 7.9% 12.7% 18.8% 23.1% 19.3% 6.9% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.