Race 4A

north-fall-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Hector Guzman 27.6% 25.7% 21.3% 13.9% 7.3% 2.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Zachary Hill 24.8% 23.7% 21.8% 14.1% 9.3% 4.1% 2.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Roberto Stevens 21.9% 21.9% 21.2% 17.7% 10.6% 5.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lauren Sullivan 2.4% 1.9% 4.3% 6.4% 11.5% 16.8% 16.0% 18.4% 12.0% 8.1% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Tyler Rochon 2.5% 3.5% 3.2% 6.6% 11.3% 14.8% 18.1% 18.4% 12.7% 6.2% 2.1% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Kelter 13.1% 13.3% 16.6% 20.1% 16.9% 11.8% 5.4% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Aleks Vagnesr 0.6% 0.3% 0.9% 1.0% 2.1% 3.8% 5.7% 6.4% 13.2% 17.6% 24.8% 16.9% 6.7% 0.0%
Chloe Headrick 0.2% 0.0% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.4% 2.3% 2.6% 3.1% 7.6% 13.2% 26.9% 42.5% 0.0%
Kaylie Byrnes 0.5% 1.0% 0.8% 2.3% 2.6% 4.3% 6.4% 9.1% 17.4% 19.7% 20.8% 12.4% 2.7% 0.0%
Liliana Loosbrock 4.5% 6.0% 6.5% 10.5% 17.2% 19.1% 16.8% 11.2% 5.2% 2.4% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Zachary Warner 1.3% 1.8% 2.1% 5.2% 8.2% 12.4% 17.2% 18.8% 16.0% 11.4% 4.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
James Reynolds 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 1.5% 2.5% 4.0% 6.3% 10.6% 16.8% 19.1% 21.0% 13.7% 2.8% 0.0%
Brendan McCue 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.7% 1.3% 1.6% 3.0% 7.8% 11.5% 28.0% 45.0% 0.0%
Aleks Vagnesr 0.6% 0.3% 0.9% 1.0% 2.1% 3.8% 5.7% 6.4% 13.2% 17.6% 24.8% 16.9% 6.7% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.