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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hope College-0.77+6.31vs Predicted
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2Purdue University-0.49+2.96vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-0.55+3.64vs Predicted
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4Indiana University0.20+0.66vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-0.44+1.11vs Predicted
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6University of Saint Thomas-0.03-0.55vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-0.09-1.65vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin-1.89+2.19vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan-1.71+0.68vs Predicted
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10University of Chicago0.55-6.16vs Predicted
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11Washington University-0.80-3.75vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University-1.16-3.64vs Predicted
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13Lake Forest College-2.49-1.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.31Hope College-0.774.8%1st Place
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4.96Purdue University-0.4912.9%1st Place
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6.64Northwestern University-0.556.5%1st Place
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4.66Indiana University0.2013.0%1st Place
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6.11Michigan State University-0.448.1%1st Place
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5.45University of Saint Thomas-0.0310.3%1st Place
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5.35Marquette University-0.0911.0%1st Place
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10.19University of Wisconsin-1.892.0%1st Place
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9.68University of Michigan-1.712.0%1st Place
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3.84University of Chicago0.5519.6%1st Place
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7.25Washington University-0.805.1%1st Place
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8.36Northwestern University-1.163.5%1st Place
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11.19Lake Forest College-2.491.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ella Sligh | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 6.5% | 2.3% |
| Nok In Chan | 12.9% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Forgosh | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Sunny Sun | 13.0% | 15.6% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Dodge | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Eli Erling | 11.0% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Jack Cropper | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 15.0% | 22.4% | 23.7% |
| Andrew Beute | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 15.4% | 21.5% | 15.8% |
| James Leavitt | 19.6% | 17.1% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hsia | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 1.9% |
| Lucas Hurtado | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 6.8% |
| Van Baghdasaryan | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 9.8% | 19.1% | 47.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.