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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+1.53vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.27+2.18vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College3.25-0.26vs Predicted
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4Hamilton College-0.13+4.49vs Predicted
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5University of Rochester-0.38+3.86vs Predicted
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6Fordham University3.16-3.19vs Predicted
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7Columbia University1.52-1.64vs Predicted
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8University of Toronto-0.85+1.78vs Predicted
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9Queen's University0.94-2.49vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University0.55-2.86vs Predicted
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12Rochester Institute of Technology-0.49-2.88vs Predicted
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13U. S. Military Academy-2.12-1.24vs Predicted
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14University of Buffalo-2.07-2.28vs Predicted
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15University of Toronto-0.85-5.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.53Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.3%1st Place
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4.18Cornell University2.270.1%1st Place
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2.74SUNY Maritime College3.250.2%1st Place
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8.49Hamilton College-0.130.0%1st Place
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8.86University of Rochester-0.380.0%1st Place
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2.81Fordham University3.160.2%1st Place
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5.36Columbia University1.520.1%1st Place
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9.78University of Toronto-0.850.0%1st Place
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6.51Queen's University0.940.0%1st Place
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7.14Syracuse University0.550.0%1st Place
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9.12Rochester Institute of Technology-0.490.0%1st Place
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11.76U. S. Military Academy-2.120.0%1st Place
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11.72University of Buffalo-2.070.0%1st Place
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9.78University of Toronto-0.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hector Guzman | 29.3% | 25.6% | 22.2% | 13.2% | 6.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gerard Eastman | 9.8% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 22.6% | 19.8% | 12.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Hill | 24.5% | 25.7% | 21.1% | 15.2% | 8.4% | 4.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Maeztu | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 14.5% | 17.9% | 16.9% | 13.3% | 5.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Brent Calabresi | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 17.1% | 18.7% | 16.6% | 7.9% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Roberto Stevens | 23.3% | 23.9% | 22.4% | 15.4% | 9.9% | 4.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 5.3% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 13.1% | 19.8% | 18.3% | 14.6% | 9.1% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aleks Vagnesr | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 12.8% | 16.7% | 24.4% | 17.6% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Sullivan | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 18.6% | 19.8% | 15.9% | 10.1% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Warner | 1.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 14.2% | 17.7% | 18.1% | 12.9% | 9.2% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kaylie Byrnes | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 13.0% | 17.0% | 18.4% | 16.8% | 10.4% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Headrick | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 10.6% | 26.2% | 46.4% | 0.0% |
| Brendan McCue | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 7.4% | 11.4% | 30.0% | 41.9% | 0.0% |
| Aleks Vagnesr | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 12.8% | 16.7% | 24.4% | 17.6% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.