Race 6A

north-fall-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Hector Guzman 29.0% 27.5% 19.6% 15.4% 6.0% 1.8% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Zachary Hill 26.1% 23.3% 23.4% 15.4% 7.2% 3.4% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Zachary Warner 1.2% 2.0% 2.1% 5.1% 8.6% 16.3% 15.7% 20.0% 14.0% 10.3% 3.7% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sofia Maeztu 1.2% 0.6% 1.3% 2.5% 5.3% 6.9% 14.1% 14.2% 16.0% 17.4% 13.9% 5.6% 1.0% 0.0%
Liliana Loosbrock 4.7% 6.3% 8.1% 11.9% 20.4% 18.1% 15.8% 8.8% 4.3% 1.0% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Gerard Eastman 9.7% 12.3% 16.1% 18.7% 20.9% 12.4% 6.9% 1.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Roberto Stevens 24.2% 22.5% 21.7% 17.3% 10.0% 3.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brent Calabresi 0.6% 0.7% 1.5% 2.7% 4.0% 5.7% 8.5% 12.7% 18.1% 18.5% 17.0% 8.1% 1.9% 0.0%
Lauren Sullivan 2.3% 3.2% 4.8% 7.3% 10.8% 19.7% 18.6% 15.1% 11.8% 4.4% 1.2% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Aleks Vagnesr 0.3% 0.5% 0.6% 1.4% 2.6% 4.1% 5.6% 8.5% 11.5% 17.4% 24.2% 16.1% 7.2% 0.0%
Kaylie Byrnes 0.5% 0.7% 0.4% 1.7% 3.7% 5.8% 9.2% 13.4% 16.7% 18.2% 16.2% 10.2% 3.3% 0.0%
Chloe Headrick 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.7% 2.0% 2.3% 4.1% 5.8% 11.0% 28.0% 45.0% 0.0%
Brendan McCue 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.3% 1.6% 1.5% 2.6% 2.7% 6.7% 12.3% 30.0% 41.6% 0.0%
Aleks Vagnesr 0.3% 0.5% 0.6% 1.4% 2.6% 4.1% 5.6% 8.5% 11.5% 17.4% 24.2% 16.1% 7.2% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.