Race 7A

north-fall-qualifier

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

71.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Hector Guzman 30.2% 27.0% 18.1% 15.5% 6.9% 1.8% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Zachary Hill 26.7% 22.6% 24.2% 14.1% 7.4% 3.5% 1.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Aleks Vagnesr 0.6% 0.2% 0.5% 1.0% 1.6% 3.8% 6.7% 8.7% 12.7% 17.4% 23.3% 17.0% 6.5% 0.0%
Gerard Eastman 8.9% 10.6% 13.9% 21.5% 21.1% 13.8% 7.1% 1.9% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lauren Sullivan 2.8% 4.1% 4.1% 7.4% 13.2% 17.2% 20.0% 15.0% 9.9% 4.4% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Zachary Warner 1.0% 2.1% 3.5% 5.6% 10.2% 15.6% 17.1% 16.0% 14.0% 9.3% 4.3% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Liliana Loosbrock 5.2% 6.9% 6.9% 11.5% 17.6% 24.0% 13.4% 9.9% 3.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Roberto Stevens 22.6% 23.8% 24.3% 15.7% 9.4% 3.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brent Calabresi 0.6% 1.2% 1.1% 2.2% 4.3% 5.3% 8.4% 12.7% 17.3% 19.0% 15.7% 9.4% 2.8% 0.0%
Kaylie Byrnes 0.4% 0.8% 1.4% 2.5% 3.0% 4.3% 9.5% 11.4% 17.7% 16.9% 18.5% 10.1% 3.5% 0.0%
Chloe Headrick 0.2% 0.0% 0.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.4% 1.7% 3.3% 3.7% 7.3% 13.9% 27.0% 41.4% 0.0%
Brendan McCue 0.1% 0.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.6% 0.9% 2.0% 3.4% 3.2% 6.6% 10.1% 27.9% 44.5% 0.0%
Sofia Maeztu 0.7% 0.6% 1.2% 2.4% 4.4% 6.2% 11.8% 17.1% 17.2% 17.8% 12.4% 7.0% 1.2% 0.0%
Aleks Vagnesr 0.6% 0.2% 0.5% 1.0% 1.6% 3.8% 6.7% 8.7% 12.7% 17.4% 23.3% 17.0% 6.5% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.