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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.04+3.32vs Predicted
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2Columbia University0.51+5.35vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-1.03vs Predicted
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4Queen's University1.89+0.56vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.43-1.42vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College2.05-1.78vs Predicted
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7University of Rochester0.95-0.64vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University0.83-1.34vs Predicted
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9U. S. Military Academy-0.90+1.16vs Predicted
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10Rochester Institute of Technology-0.85+0.02vs Predicted
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11University of Toronto-1.58+0.21vs Predicted
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12Hamilton College-0.54-2.43vs Predicted
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14University of Buffalo-1.37-2.97vs Predicted
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15University of Toronto-1.58-3.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.32Fordham University2.040.1%1st Place
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7.35Columbia University0.510.0%1st Place
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1.97Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.5%1st Place
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4.56Queen's University1.890.1%1st Place
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3.58Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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4.22SUNY Maritime College2.050.1%1st Place
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6.36University of Rochester0.950.0%1st Place
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6.66Syracuse University0.830.0%1st Place
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10.16U. S. Military Academy-0.900.0%1st Place
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10.02Rochester Institute of Technology-0.850.0%1st Place
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11.21University of Toronto-1.580.0%1st Place
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9.57Hamilton College-0.540.0%1st Place
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11.03University of Buffalo-1.370.0%1st Place
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11.21University of Toronto-1.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Howie | 9.4% | 13.5% | 15.7% | 15.8% | 16.4% | 12.6% | 9.2% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Edwards | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 13.9% | 18.6% | 16.6% | 10.5% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Charles Miller | 47.1% | 25.0% | 17.2% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Gittens | 8.6% | 10.3% | 14.8% | 16.1% | 14.9% | 16.6% | 10.3% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Balk | 13.9% | 21.4% | 17.3% | 16.7% | 13.9% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 9.5% | 13.7% | 16.8% | 17.2% | 16.1% | 11.7% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott McKinney | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 14.7% | 14.8% | 16.0% | 12.1% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Klebahn | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 19.9% | 17.2% | 12.7% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hare | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 11.2% | 17.1% | 18.8% | 19.9% | 14.3% | 0.0% |
| Ben Wilson | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 18.5% | 18.1% | 17.2% | 13.2% | 0.0% |
| Avery Schwarz | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 11.1% | 17.4% | 23.0% | 32.7% | 0.0% |
| Michael Moubarak | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 17.0% | 15.5% | 18.3% | 14.3% | 8.7% | 0.0% |
| Max Paikin | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 12.4% | 16.1% | 22.1% | 30.7% | 0.0% |
| Avery Schwarz | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 11.1% | 17.4% | 23.0% | 32.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.