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📊 Prediction Accuracy
78.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+0.99vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.43+1.59vs Predicted
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3University of Rochester0.95+3.52vs Predicted
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4Queen's University1.89+0.56vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.04-0.73vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College2.05-1.80vs Predicted
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7Columbia University0.51+0.25vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University0.83-1.34vs Predicted
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9U. S. Military Academy-0.90+1.16vs Predicted
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10University of Toronto-1.58+1.22vs Predicted
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11Rochester Institute of Technology-0.85-1.05vs Predicted
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12Hamilton College-0.54-2.41vs Predicted
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13University of Buffalo-1.37-1.96vs Predicted
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15University of Toronto-1.58-3.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.99Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.4%1st Place
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3.59Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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6.52University of Rochester0.950.0%1st Place
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4.56Queen's University1.890.1%1st Place
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4.27Fordham University2.040.1%1st Place
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4.2SUNY Maritime College2.050.1%1st Place
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7.25Columbia University0.510.0%1st Place
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6.66Syracuse University0.830.0%1st Place
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10.16U. S. Military Academy-0.900.0%1st Place
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11.22University of Toronto-1.580.0%1st Place
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9.95Rochester Institute of Technology-0.850.0%1st Place
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9.59Hamilton College-0.540.0%1st Place
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11.04University of Buffalo-1.370.0%1st Place
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11.22University of Toronto-1.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Miller | 44.5% | 29.4% | 14.9% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Balk | 14.4% | 19.1% | 19.2% | 17.3% | 13.3% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott McKinney | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 15.7% | 18.5% | 10.7% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Scott Gittens | 8.3% | 11.1% | 15.5% | 14.6% | 16.4% | 14.0% | 11.2% | 6.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Howie | 10.7% | 12.5% | 16.9% | 14.9% | 15.0% | 13.7% | 10.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 10.3% | 13.9% | 15.8% | 17.9% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Edwards | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 13.4% | 17.1% | 18.1% | 10.6% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Parker Klebahn | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 15.9% | 18.2% | 12.4% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hare | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 10.6% | 17.2% | 19.6% | 18.6% | 15.0% | 0.0% |
| Avery Schwarz | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 14.3% | 22.3% | 36.2% | 0.0% |
| Ben Wilson | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 14.1% | 17.7% | 18.1% | 17.8% | 10.4% | 0.0% |
| Michael Moubarak | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 13.7% | 17.5% | 19.2% | 14.6% | 8.2% | 0.0% |
| Max Paikin | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 11.4% | 17.4% | 23.1% | 29.8% | 0.0% |
| Avery Schwarz | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 14.3% | 22.3% | 36.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.