← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Cornell University2.11+2.79vs Predicted
-
2University of Rochester0.95+3.89vs Predicted
-
3Fordham University1.67+1.61vs Predicted
-
4Columbia University0.51+2.74vs Predicted
-
5SUNY Maritime College2.05-1.17vs Predicted
-
6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-4.20vs Predicted
-
7University of Toronto-1.58+3.79vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Military Academy-0.90+1.57vs Predicted
-
9Syracuse University-1.01+0.80vs Predicted
-
10Queen's University1.89-5.90vs Predicted
-
11Rochester Institute of Technology-0.85-1.65vs Predicted
-
13University of Buffalo-1.37-2.40vs Predicted
-
14Hamilton College-1.10-3.91vs Predicted
-
15University of Toronto-1.58-4.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.79Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
-
5.89University of Rochester0.950.0%1st Place
-
4.61Fordham University1.670.1%1st Place
-
6.74Columbia University0.510.0%1st Place
-
3.83SUNY Maritime College2.050.1%1st Place
-
1.8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.5%1st Place
-
10.79University of Toronto-1.580.0%1st Place
-
9.57U. S. Military Academy-0.900.0%1st Place
-
9.8Syracuse University-1.010.0%1st Place
-
4.1Queen's University1.890.1%1st Place
-
9.35Rochester Institute of Technology-0.850.0%1st Place
-
10.6University of Buffalo-1.370.0%1st Place
-
10.09Hamilton College-1.100.0%1st Place
-
10.79University of Toronto-1.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebby Turner | 10.6% | 18.9% | 16.8% | 19.5% | 16.0% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott McKinney | 3.7% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 17.1% | 18.8% | 13.0% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott McKenzie | 5.5% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 17.8% | 15.2% | 16.6% | 11.4% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Edwards | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 14.6% | 18.5% | 17.6% | 11.4% | 7.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 11.6% | 15.7% | 20.7% | 15.2% | 17.2% | 10.1% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Miller | 52.9% | 25.8% | 12.9% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Avery Schwarz | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 21.1% | 29.6% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hare | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 17.8% | 17.5% | 13.4% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| John Colby | 0.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 18.1% | 14.9% | 14.9% | 13.8% | 0.0% |
| Scott Gittens | 10.7% | 14.5% | 16.9% | 16.1% | 16.6% | 12.6% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Wilson | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 12.7% | 17.3% | 15.9% | 15.1% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| Max Paikin | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 16.8% | 19.5% | 24.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Keefe | 0.7% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 17.6% | 18.4% | 14.8% | 0.0% |
| Avery Schwarz | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 21.1% | 29.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.