Race 6B

north-fall-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Charles Miller 49.9% 28.8% 13.5% 5.1% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sebby Turner 11.4% 19.1% 18.5% 16.9% 16.2% 9.9% 6.1% 1.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicole Edwards 3.8% 2.7% 4.5% 7.5% 9.9% 13.0% 19.3% 20.4% 12.6% 4.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Scott McKenzie 6.7% 11.3% 15.8% 16.5% 16.7% 15.1% 11.0% 5.3% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Scott McKinney 4.1% 5.0% 9.3% 8.5% 12.1% 20.0% 19.6% 10.8% 7.3% 2.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Juan Lejarraga 12.0% 15.4% 16.9% 18.7% 17.2% 10.8% 7.1% 1.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Avery Schwarz 0.7% 0.8% 0.8% 0.7% 1.0% 2.8% 3.4% 8.0% 10.5% 17.5% 21.0% 32.8% 0.0%
Ben Wilson 0.3% 1.1% 0.8% 2.6% 2.6% 5.4% 8.1% 13.4% 18.0% 19.2% 18.0% 10.5% 0.0%
Jacob Hare 0.4% 0.7% 1.2% 1.6% 2.1% 4.4% 7.9% 14.8% 18.3% 20.1% 16.9% 11.6% 0.0%
John Colby 0.2% 0.7% 1.0% 2.8% 3.6% 2.6% 5.9% 12.2% 17.3% 18.8% 19.8% 15.1% 0.0%
Max Paikin 0.9% 0.5% 0.7% 1.1% 1.5% 1.5% 3.7% 8.7% 13.0% 17.0% 21.9% 29.5% 0.0%
Avery Schwarz 0.7% 0.8% 0.8% 0.7% 1.0% 2.8% 3.4% 8.0% 10.5% 17.5% 21.0% 32.8% 0.0%
Scott Gittens 9.6% 13.9% 17.0% 18.0% 15.2% 13.9% 7.7% 3.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.