Race 7B

north-fall-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Charles Miller 55.3% 26.0% 11.5% 4.4% 2.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Scott McKenzie 6.2% 15.0% 17.5% 15.0% 17.2% 13.5% 9.9% 4.1% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sebby Turner 13.1% 18.3% 19.4% 18.3% 14.6% 10.4% 4.2% 1.5% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Scott Gittens 9.2% 17.2% 18.2% 16.7% 16.1% 12.5% 6.5% 2.0% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Aidan Molesky 6.5% 10.4% 12.5% 17.6% 15.3% 15.9% 11.6% 7.0% 2.7% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicole Edwards 2.4% 3.3% 6.5% 8.4% 8.9% 13.4% 19.6% 19.1% 11.0% 5.4% 1.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Scott McKinney 4.9% 6.6% 9.1% 11.4% 12.7% 17.2% 18.1% 11.5% 5.4% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Jacob Hare 0.3% 1.0% 1.5% 2.1% 4.3% 4.3% 6.9% 12.4% 18.8% 18.2% 17.9% 12.3% 0.0%
John Colby 0.5% 0.7% 1.3% 1.5% 2.3% 3.6% 7.1% 13.0% 19.0% 18.2% 19.8% 13.0% 0.0%
Avery Schwarz 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 1.2% 2.3% 2.9% 3.4% 6.6% 10.1% 16.3% 21.2% 35.1% 0.0%
Max Paikin 0.7% 0.6% 0.7% 1.1% 1.3% 2.3% 4.3% 9.3% 11.6% 18.4% 21.0% 28.7% 0.0%
Ben Wilson 0.7% 0.6% 1.4% 2.3% 3.0% 3.3% 8.3% 13.5% 18.3% 20.5% 17.9% 10.2% 0.0%
Avery Schwarz 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 1.2% 2.3% 2.9% 3.4% 6.6% 10.1% 16.3% 21.2% 35.1% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.