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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Marquette University-0.09+4.40vs Predicted
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2Indiana University0.20+2.79vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-1.16+5.39vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-0.49+0.90vs Predicted
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5University of Saint Thomas-0.03+0.48vs Predicted
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6Washington University-0.80+1.28vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University-0.44-0.93vs Predicted
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8Hope College-0.77-0.70vs Predicted
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9University of Chicago0.55-5.28vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University-0.55-3.37vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin-1.89-0.90vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan-1.71-2.24vs Predicted
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13Lake Forest College-2.49-1.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.4Marquette University-0.0911.6%1st Place
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4.79Indiana University0.2013.4%1st Place
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8.39Northwestern University-1.163.2%1st Place
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4.9Purdue University-0.4912.4%1st Place
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5.48University of Saint Thomas-0.039.2%1st Place
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7.28Washington University-0.805.8%1st Place
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6.07Michigan State University-0.448.6%1st Place
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7.3Hope College-0.774.8%1st Place
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3.72University of Chicago0.5519.7%1st Place
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6.63Northwestern University-0.556.7%1st Place
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10.1University of Wisconsin-1.891.4%1st Place
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9.76University of Michigan-1.712.4%1st Place
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11.18Lake Forest College-2.491.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Erling | 11.6% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Sunny Sun | 13.4% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Hurtado | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 14.6% | 12.8% | 5.5% |
| Nok In Chan | 12.4% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 9.2% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Jacob Hsia | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 6.0% | 2.3% |
| Ryan Dodge | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Ella Sligh | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 5.9% | 2.4% |
| James Leavitt | 19.7% | 19.0% | 14.6% | 14.1% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Samantha Forgosh | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Jack Cropper | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 14.0% | 23.5% | 21.8% |
| Andrew Beute | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 11.8% | 15.8% | 20.9% | 17.3% |
| Van Baghdasaryan | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 9.8% | 18.6% | 47.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.