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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.89+5.69vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University4.78+5.01vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston4.34+5.97vs Predicted
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4Harvard University4.52+3.88vs Predicted
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5Stanford University4.05+4.87vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University3.92+4.57vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont3.62+4.73vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College4.06+1.92vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College4.15+0.58vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63-2.29vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.70+0.66vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49-3.55vs Predicted
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13Boston University4.07-3.29vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University3.70-2.87vs Predicted
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15Brown University4.49-7.01vs Predicted
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16Yale University4.19-6.52vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80-5.82vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy3.66-6.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.69Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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7.01Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
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8.97College of Charleston4.340.1%1st Place
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7.88Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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9.87Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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10.57Salve Regina University3.920.0%1st Place
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11.73University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
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9.92Dartmouth College4.060.0%1st Place
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9.58SUNY Maritime College4.150.0%1st Place
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7.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
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11.66Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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8.45Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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9.71Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
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11.13Old Dominion University3.700.0%1st Place
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7.99Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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9.48Yale University4.190.0%1st Place
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11.18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.0%1st Place
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11.48U. S. Naval Academy3.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Sinks | 9.6% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Cy Thompson | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Jackson Benvenutti | 6.2% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| Alan Palmer | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Kevin Laube | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 4.4% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% |
| Coleman Bowen | 3.0% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 12.3% | 11.7% |
| Sam Williams | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% |
| Shawn Murray | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% |
| Samuel Ingham | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Massimo Soriano | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 13.6% |
| Samuel Blouin | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% |
| Ben Greenfield | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.3% |
| Brady Stagg | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.7% |
| Fred Strammer | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Joseph Morris | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% |
| Megan Magill | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.7% |
| Jason Carminati | 3.6% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 12.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.