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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Wentworth Institute of Technology0.87+3.86vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.94+1.21vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.33+1.26vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.04+0.78vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.27-0.66vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.75-3.82vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.18-2.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.86Wentworth Institute of Technology0.870.1%1st Place
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3.21Tufts University1.940.2%1st Place
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4.26Tufts University1.330.1%1st Place
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4.78Tufts University1.040.1%1st Place
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4.34Brown University1.270.1%1st Place
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2.18Boston University2.750.4%1st Place
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4.38Northeastern University1.180.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Eley | 7.3% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 14.9% | 19.7% | 26.3% |
| Wells Drayton | 17.6% | 22.1% | 21.0% | 16.1% | 12.1% | 6.6% | 4.5% |
| Nicholas Giacobbe | 10.5% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 16.6% | 17.8% | 18.1% | 12.7% |
| Matthew Galbraith | 6.7% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 14.6% | 16.3% | 18.7% | 24.3% |
| Ian Light | 8.0% | 11.4% | 16.3% | 15.3% | 16.7% | 16.1% | 16.2% |
| Casey Cabot | 40.0% | 27.5% | 15.2% | 11.1% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Carter Brock | 9.9% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 17.8% | 19.3% | 15.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.