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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.94+2.20vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.18+2.46vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.75-0.89vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.33+0.29vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.27-0.61vs Predicted
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6Wentworth Institute of Technology0.87-1.02vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.04-2.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.2Tufts University1.940.2%1st Place
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4.46Northeastern University1.180.1%1st Place
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2.11Boston University2.750.4%1st Place
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4.29Tufts University1.330.1%1st Place
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4.39Brown University1.270.1%1st Place
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4.98Wentworth Institute of Technology0.870.1%1st Place
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4.57Tufts University1.040.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wells Drayton | 20.1% | 20.6% | 20.2% | 15.2% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 4.5% |
| Carter Brock | 7.5% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 17.3% | 16.5% | 17.8% | 17.0% |
| Casey Cabot | 42.1% | 27.5% | 16.5% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Giacobbe | 8.5% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 16.4% | 18.9% | 16.0% | 14.0% |
| Ian Light | 8.2% | 9.9% | 15.6% | 17.2% | 15.9% | 16.0% | 17.2% |
| Benjamin Eley | 5.3% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 15.8% | 18.5% | 29.1% |
| Matthew Galbraith | 8.3% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 17.2% | 21.9% | 17.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.