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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.33+3.15vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.75+0.12vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.94+0.27vs Predicted
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4Wentworth Institute of Technology0.87+1.03vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.04-0.25vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.27-1.71vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.18-2.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.15Tufts University1.330.1%1st Place
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2.12Boston University2.750.4%1st Place
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3.27Tufts University1.940.2%1st Place
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5.03Wentworth Institute of Technology0.870.1%1st Place
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4.75Tufts University1.040.1%1st Place
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4.29Brown University1.270.1%1st Place
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4.38Northeastern University1.180.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Giacobbe | 11.2% | 12.3% | 14.9% | 15.8% | 17.9% | 13.8% | 14.1% |
| Casey Cabot | 41.8% | 27.7% | 16.3% | 8.0% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Wells Drayton | 17.1% | 21.9% | 17.8% | 19.5% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 4.1% |
| Benjamin Eley | 5.1% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 16.2% | 21.4% | 28.3% |
| Matthew Galbraith | 6.3% | 8.1% | 12.7% | 14.5% | 16.3% | 19.3% | 22.8% |
| Ian Light | 8.9% | 11.2% | 15.3% | 17.4% | 15.9% | 16.5% | 14.8% |
| Carter Brock | 9.6% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 18.5% | 19.0% | 15.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.