Race 1A

saisa-south-points

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Telmo Basterra 16.5% 17.1% 14.1% 13.4% 12.8% 9.9% 7.7% 5.1% 2.0% 1.0% 0.4%
David Hein 7.0% 6.5% 8.3% 7.8% 9.4% 10.7% 11.0% 12.1% 11.3% 11.9% 4.0%
Marina Barzaghi 12.3% 11.2% 12.6% 14.4% 10.9% 11.3% 10.0% 8.1% 5.6% 2.7% 0.9%
Christopher Deleon 1.2% 2.0% 1.7% 2.7% 2.5% 3.6% 4.3% 5.4% 8.1% 19.2% 49.3%
Hana Zwick 9.7% 9.3% 10.2% 9.9% 10.2% 10.4% 10.0% 11.8% 8.5% 7.1% 2.9%
Kelly Stukbauer 4.4% 5.5% 7.6% 6.4% 8.1% 7.7% 10.9% 12.0% 15.4% 13.5% 8.5%
Andrew Scotti 7.1% 7.3% 6.4% 8.3% 8.5% 9.2% 10.8% 11.5% 14.9% 9.9% 6.1%
Cameron Douglas 8.9% 7.7% 9.7% 9.6% 12.1% 10.4% 11.4% 10.3% 9.9% 6.8% 3.2%
Derek Pearson 3.2% 3.8% 2.5% 4.5% 4.2% 6.4% 6.7% 9.4% 14.1% 21.9% 23.3%
Samuel Shannon 12.0% 12.3% 11.3% 10.8% 10.4% 11.1% 9.8% 9.2% 7.5% 4.3% 1.3%
Samuel Armington 17.7% 17.3% 15.6% 12.2% 10.9% 9.3% 7.4% 5.1% 2.7% 1.7% 0.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.