Race 2A

saisa-south-points

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Telmo Basterra 17.6% 15.9% 14.9% 14.2% 12.5% 10.6% 6.2% 4.6% 2.3% 0.7% 0.5%
Marina Barzaghi 14.1% 12.8% 14.7% 11.3% 11.1% 10.1% 9.8% 7.8% 4.8% 3.3% 0.2%
Hana Zwick 8.3% 8.5% 9.9% 8.9% 11.2% 9.9% 12.8% 10.8% 9.3% 7.8% 2.6%
Samuel Shannon 10.2% 10.3% 9.7% 10.2% 13.1% 12.3% 10.2% 9.6% 7.5% 5.2% 1.7%
David Hein 7.1% 7.3% 7.6% 9.0% 8.4% 10.7% 9.2% 12.1% 11.9% 11.4% 5.3%
Andrew Scotti 5.7% 6.6% 6.5% 7.6% 8.7% 8.5% 11.8% 12.6% 12.4% 11.9% 7.7%
Christopher Deleon 1.7% 3.9% 1.7% 2.2% 2.6% 3.9% 5.3% 6.4% 10.9% 16.6% 44.8%
Kelly Stukbauer 6.0% 4.6% 7.6% 7.5% 8.2% 9.3% 10.1% 10.8% 12.3% 14.9% 8.7%
Cameron Douglas 7.6% 8.3% 8.8% 11.0% 9.2% 10.3% 10.4% 11.0% 11.7% 7.6% 4.1%
Derek Pearson 3.5% 3.6% 2.8% 5.4% 4.7% 6.2% 7.8% 9.3% 13.6% 19.6% 23.5%
Samuel Armington 18.2% 18.2% 15.8% 12.7% 10.3% 8.2% 6.4% 5.0% 3.3% 1.0% 0.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.