← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island3.92+5.14vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University4.74+1.76vs Predicted
-
3Old Dominion University3.61+4.13vs Predicted
-
4College of Charleston4.00+1.96vs Predicted
-
5University of South Florida3.49+2.69vs Predicted
-
6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.82+0.56vs Predicted
-
7Salve Regina University3.84-0.52vs Predicted
-
8Washington College3.65-0.88vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Santa Barbara3.26-0.64vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Naval Academy3.66-2.84vs Predicted
-
11SUNY Maritime College3.60-3.69vs Predicted
-
12Eckerd College3.00-2.52vs Predicted
-
14University of Texas1.82-1.45vs Predicted
-
15Tulane University1.64-2.21vs Predicted
-
16Clemson University2.20-4.52vs Predicted
-
17Salve Regina University3.84-10.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.14University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
-
3.76Georgetown University4.740.2%1st Place
-
7.13Old Dominion University3.610.1%1st Place
-
5.96College of Charleston4.000.1%1st Place
-
7.69University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
-
6.56St. Mary's College of Maryland3.820.1%1st Place
-
6.48Salve Regina University3.840.1%1st Place
-
7.12Washington College3.650.1%1st Place
-
8.36University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.0%1st Place
-
7.16U. S. Naval Academy3.660.1%1st Place
-
7.31SUNY Maritime College3.600.1%1st Place
-
9.48Eckerd College3.000.0%1st Place
-
12.55University of Texas1.820.0%1st Place
-
12.79Tulane University1.640.0%1st Place
-
11.48Clemson University2.200.0%1st Place
-
6.48Salve Regina University3.840.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amy Hawkins | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Chris Barnard | 22.0% | 19.8% | 14.0% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alan Alkins | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Stokes | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Stocke | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Mike Kuschner | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Clancy | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Whitford | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Jason Carminati | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Harry Scott | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Dorris | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Caitlynn Taylor | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 13.2% | 23.2% | 33.1% | 0.0% |
| Schuyler Hemmerdinger | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 11.7% | 21.5% | 38.1% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Todd | 1.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 20.9% | 19.2% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Clancy | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.