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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University0.97+6.37vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.70+3.01vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.60+5.68vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.21+7.08vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.59+0.38vs Predicted
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6Hampton University0.58+0.50vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy1.35-0.80vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.16-4.11vs Predicted
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9Penn State University1.13-1.57vs Predicted
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10Virginia Tech0.67-2.42vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland0.92-3.56vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University0.73-4.02vs Predicted
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13American University-0.61-1.05vs Predicted
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14George Washington University-0.66-1.96vs Predicted
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15University of Maryland-0.45-3.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.37Old Dominion University0.976.5%1st Place
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5.01St. Mary's College of Maryland1.7012.6%1st Place
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8.68Christopher Newport University0.603.8%1st Place
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11.08William and Mary-0.211.8%1st Place
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5.38Old Dominion University1.5911.5%1st Place
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6.5Hampton University0.587.1%1st Place
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6.2U. S. Naval Academy1.359.0%1st Place
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3.89U. S. Naval Academy2.1620.2%1st Place
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7.43Penn State University1.136.6%1st Place
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7.58Virginia Tech0.676.3%1st Place
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7.44St. Mary's College of Maryland0.926.7%1st Place
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7.98Christopher Newport University0.734.0%1st Place
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11.95American University-0.611.4%1st Place
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12.04George Washington University-0.661.2%1st Place
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11.48University of Maryland-0.451.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gianna Dewey | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Mason Cook | 12.6% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Aston Atherton | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 5.6% | 2.5% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 14.4% | 17.4% | 16.0% |
| Diogo Silva | 11.5% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Brown | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Leo Robillard | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Kyle Reinecke | 20.2% | 18.0% | 15.6% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| James Lilyquist | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Scott Opert | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Joshua Bendura | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Miles White | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 12.6% | 20.0% | 27.5% |
| Frank Wildi | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 13.4% | 19.8% | 28.0% |
| Sophie Grigg | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 10.6% | 14.6% | 18.7% | 20.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.