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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College4.06+9.13vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.89+4.58vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University4.78+4.04vs Predicted
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4Stanford University4.05+5.89vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.70+6.30vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont3.62+5.83vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.70+4.49vs Predicted
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8Harvard University4.52-0.11vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston4.34-0.31vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63-2.25vs Predicted
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11Brown University4.49-2.78vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49-3.48vs Predicted
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13Yale University4.19-3.77vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80-3.26vs Predicted
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15Boston University4.07-5.15vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University3.92-5.35vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College4.15-7.30vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy3.66-6.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.13Dartmouth College4.060.0%1st Place
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6.58Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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7.04Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
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9.89Stanford University4.050.0%1st Place
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11.3Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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11.83University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
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11.49Old Dominion University3.700.0%1st Place
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7.89Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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8.69College of Charleston4.340.0%1st Place
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7.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
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8.22Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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8.52Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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9.23Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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10.74St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.0%1st Place
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9.85Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
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10.65Salve Regina University3.920.0%1st Place
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9.7SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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11.5U. S. Naval Academy3.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Williams | 4.8% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% |
| Tyler Sinks | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Cy Thompson | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Kevin Laube | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% |
| Massimo Soriano | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 13.0% |
| Coleman Bowen | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 14.3% |
| Brady Stagg | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 10.0% |
| Alan Palmer | 6.9% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Jackson Benvenutti | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| Samuel Ingham | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Fred Strammer | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% |
| Samuel Blouin | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.0% |
| Joseph Morris | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% |
| Megan Magill | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.5% |
| Ben Greenfield | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% |
| Shawn Murray | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.2% |
| Jason Carminati | 3.6% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 11.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.