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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Chicago0.55+2.77vs Predicted
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2Purdue University-0.49+2.94vs Predicted
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3University of Saint Thomas-0.03+2.51vs Predicted
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4Indiana University0.20+0.55vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-0.55+1.72vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-0.09-0.55vs Predicted
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7Washington University-0.80+0.18vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin-1.89+2.10vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan-1.34-0.19vs Predicted
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10Michigan State University-0.44-3.80vs Predicted
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11Lake Forest College-2.49+0.33vs Predicted
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12Hope College-0.77-4.67vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University-1.44-3.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.77University of Chicago0.5521.0%1st Place
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4.94Purdue University-0.4911.8%1st Place
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5.51University of Saint Thomas-0.0310.3%1st Place
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4.55Indiana University0.2014.0%1st Place
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6.72Northwestern University-0.556.7%1st Place
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5.45Marquette University-0.0910.5%1st Place
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7.18Washington University-0.804.9%1st Place
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10.1University of Wisconsin-1.891.7%1st Place
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8.81University of Michigan-1.342.9%1st Place
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6.2Michigan State University-0.448.2%1st Place
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11.33Lake Forest College-2.490.7%1st Place
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7.33Hope College-0.774.5%1st Place
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9.11Northwestern University-1.442.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Leavitt | 21.0% | 17.2% | 15.6% | 12.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nok In Chan | 11.8% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Sunny Sun | 14.0% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Forgosh | 6.7% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 0.9% |
| Eli Erling | 10.5% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Jacob Hsia | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 1.8% |
| Jack Cropper | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 14.3% | 23.1% | 23.2% |
| Calistoga Frerker | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 15.8% | 15.7% | 8.7% |
| Ryan Dodge | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Van Baghdasaryan | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 9.8% | 16.5% | 50.9% |
| Ella Sligh | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 2.1% |
| Luke Sadalla | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 14.8% | 19.1% | 10.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.