Race 3A

saisa-south-points

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Samuel Armington 14.6% 15.6% 15.7% 12.0% 11.4% 12.1% 9.1% 4.4% 3.3% 1.3% 0.5%
Marina Barzaghi 13.7% 14.2% 11.4% 12.1% 14.0% 8.5% 8.8% 8.9% 5.0% 3.0% 0.4%
Telmo Basterra 16.8% 15.3% 14.6% 13.7% 11.2% 10.1% 8.1% 5.2% 3.4% 1.1% 0.5%
Hana Zwick 8.7% 8.8% 9.0% 9.2% 10.2% 11.2% 12.7% 10.7% 8.8% 7.8% 2.9%
David Hein 7.7% 6.7% 7.6% 9.1% 8.1% 10.0% 10.9% 11.8% 10.9% 12.1% 5.1%
Cameron Douglas 7.8% 9.8% 8.7% 9.7% 9.4% 10.3% 10.4% 11.5% 10.2% 8.6% 3.6%
Samuel Shannon 12.7% 12.0% 11.9% 10.9% 11.4% 11.0% 9.9% 7.0% 7.5% 4.1% 1.6%
Kelly Stukbauer 6.4% 4.4% 7.2% 8.1% 7.9% 8.8% 10.0% 12.6% 11.2% 15.4% 8.0%
Christopher Deleon 2.0% 2.2% 2.9% 2.2% 2.5% 2.6% 4.2% 6.2% 10.0% 13.9% 51.3%
Andrew Scotti 7.0% 7.1% 7.0% 8.0% 7.9% 8.7% 10.0% 11.9% 14.2% 12.0% 6.2%
Derek Pearson 2.6% 3.9% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% 6.7% 5.9% 9.8% 15.5% 20.7% 19.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.