Race 4A

saisa-south-points

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Samuel Armington 14.6% 16.1% 15.4% 12.7% 12.1% 11.0% 8.5% 4.8% 3.3% 1.3% 0.2%
Telmo Basterra 19.0% 17.3% 14.6% 13.2% 10.0% 10.0% 7.4% 4.4% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
Cameron Douglas 7.6% 7.6% 9.2% 9.7% 9.3% 10.2% 10.7% 12.0% 11.7% 7.4% 4.6%
David Hein 6.2% 6.4% 7.5% 6.4% 11.3% 9.3% 10.5% 12.8% 12.9% 11.0% 5.7%
Samuel Shannon 12.2% 10.6% 9.9% 12.6% 10.2% 11.0% 10.7% 9.2% 6.4% 5.2% 2.0%
Marina Barzaghi 13.5% 14.2% 11.9% 12.7% 12.3% 9.9% 8.8% 6.8% 5.9% 2.9% 1.1%
Hana Zwick 10.3% 9.2% 11.1% 11.0% 11.2% 11.1% 9.4% 10.9% 7.0% 5.6% 3.2%
Christopher Deleon 2.3% 2.0% 1.8% 2.1% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 8.5% 9.2% 15.5% 46.6%
Andrew Scotti 5.7% 6.4% 7.6% 7.4% 7.1% 8.8% 11.6% 12.0% 13.1% 12.4% 7.9%
Kelly Stukbauer 6.0% 6.5% 6.7% 7.2% 7.6% 7.6% 11.7% 9.5% 13.0% 17.1% 7.1%
Derek Pearson 2.6% 3.7% 4.3% 5.0% 5.9% 7.1% 5.7% 9.1% 14.5% 20.7% 21.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.