Race 5A

saisa-south-points

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Marina Barzaghi 11.4% 13.6% 13.4% 12.6% 12.8% 11.5% 9.8% 6.8% 5.2% 2.3% 0.6%
Cameron Douglas 7.9% 9.0% 8.2% 10.9% 10.5% 11.4% 9.3% 10.6% 9.6% 9.8% 2.8%
Samuel Armington 15.4% 16.4% 13.9% 13.1% 11.4% 9.7% 9.0% 5.0% 3.2% 2.5% 0.4%
Samuel Shannon 10.8% 9.5% 10.1% 11.8% 12.0% 10.8% 10.2% 9.0% 8.8% 5.4% 1.6%
Hana Zwick 10.7% 10.0% 9.8% 8.7% 10.4% 10.7% 9.7% 10.3% 9.5% 7.3% 2.9%
Telmo Basterra 18.4% 17.5% 13.6% 14.2% 10.4% 7.9% 6.2% 5.5% 4.2% 1.7% 0.4%
Kelly Stukbauer 6.7% 5.8% 7.1% 7.1% 7.8% 8.7% 10.5% 12.1% 13.5% 12.0% 8.7%
Christopher Deleon 2.1% 1.6% 2.2% 2.0% 3.0% 4.1% 5.8% 7.9% 8.9% 16.1% 46.3%
Andrew Scotti 6.3% 5.6% 7.4% 7.8% 6.7% 8.9% 12.1% 12.2% 12.3% 13.4% 7.3%
Derek Pearson 3.3% 3.3% 4.2% 3.5% 5.8% 6.9% 7.4% 8.0% 13.4% 19.5% 24.7%
David Hein 7.0% 7.7% 10.1% 8.3% 9.2% 9.4% 10.0% 12.6% 11.4% 10.0% 4.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.