Race 6A

saisa-south-points

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Hana Zwick 7.5% 8.4% 9.7% 10.8% 10.5% 11.8% 12.8% 10.2% 9.6% 6.6% 2.1%
Samuel Armington 16.9% 17.7% 15.8% 11.0% 11.0% 8.5% 8.7% 5.6% 2.9% 1.7% 0.2%
Marina Barzaghi 12.5% 12.9% 12.5% 12.7% 11.1% 11.7% 8.1% 9.8% 5.4% 2.3% 1.0%
Telmo Basterra 18.0% 14.0% 16.1% 13.6% 11.6% 10.5% 6.8% 4.6% 3.1% 1.2% 0.5%
Samuel Shannon 12.2% 11.4% 10.5% 11.1% 9.7% 11.8% 8.8% 12.1% 6.7% 3.8% 1.9%
Andrew Scotti 5.7% 7.0% 6.8% 7.6% 8.0% 9.8% 10.5% 11.8% 11.0% 13.2% 8.6%
Derek Pearson 3.8% 4.0% 3.2% 3.8% 6.1% 5.6% 8.6% 7.5% 12.9% 22.5% 22.0%
Cameron Douglas 9.0% 8.7% 9.0% 11.5% 10.8% 9.4% 9.9% 9.5% 11.2% 7.4% 3.6%
Kelly Stukbauer 5.7% 5.1% 6.0% 7.1% 8.0% 7.6% 10.3% 10.6% 15.8% 14.1% 9.7%
Christopher Deleon 1.8% 2.6% 1.5% 2.9% 3.3% 3.5% 4.9% 6.7% 8.6% 18.0% 46.2%
David Hein 6.9% 8.2% 8.9% 7.9% 9.9% 9.8% 10.6% 11.6% 12.8% 9.2% 4.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.