← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Telmo Basterra 16.1% 18.0% 14.0% 13.7% 11.7% 9.8% 8.2% 4.4% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
David Hein 6.9% 6.5% 8.0% 9.2% 8.8% 9.5% 11.0% 13.0% 11.2% 11.1% 4.8%
Samuel Shannon 9.9% 9.3% 11.8% 11.6% 10.6% 10.8% 11.8% 9.8% 7.7% 5.5% 1.2%
Samuel Armington 15.6% 15.5% 13.7% 13.4% 12.3% 10.4% 7.8% 5.4% 4.1% 1.1% 0.7%
Hana Zwick 10.5% 9.2% 9.1% 9.9% 9.9% 10.2% 10.6% 10.4% 10.9% 6.4% 2.9%
Cameron Douglas 7.9% 9.1% 9.0% 9.9% 10.3% 11.7% 10.1% 9.2% 9.7% 9.2% 3.9%
Kelly Stukbauer 6.5% 5.6% 7.9% 6.2% 8.3% 8.1% 9.4% 14.3% 13.4% 13.3% 7.0%
Andrew Scotti 7.1% 5.6% 7.4% 8.0% 9.7% 8.6% 10.7% 11.4% 11.4% 13.2% 6.9%
Derek Pearson 3.0% 4.1% 3.1% 3.0% 4.5% 6.9% 7.0% 8.7% 12.9% 22.2% 24.6%
Christopher Deleon 2.0% 1.7% 2.7% 1.9% 4.4% 3.0% 4.5% 7.1% 10.7% 15.0% 47.0%
Marina Barzaghi 14.5% 15.4% 13.3% 13.2% 9.5% 11.0% 8.9% 6.3% 5.2% 2.0% 0.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.