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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.46+2.97vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.48+4.27vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.95+2.27vs Predicted
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4University of Florida2.38+0.19vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.77+0.58vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College1.67-0.19vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.23-0.33vs Predicted
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8University of Miami1.34-1.51vs Predicted
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9University of Florida0.66-0.76vs Predicted
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10Florida State University0.12-0.87vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida2.16-6.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.97Jacksonville University2.460.2%1st Place
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6.27Jacksonville University1.480.1%1st Place
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5.27Eckerd College1.950.1%1st Place
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4.19University of Florida2.380.2%1st Place
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5.58Eckerd College1.770.1%1st Place
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5.81Eckerd College1.670.1%1st Place
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6.67University of South Florida1.230.1%1st Place
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6.49University of Miami1.340.1%1st Place
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8.24University of Florida0.660.0%1st Place
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9.13Florida State University0.120.0%1st Place
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4.39University of South Florida2.160.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Telmo Basterra | 16.1% | 18.0% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| David Hein | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 4.8% |
| Samuel Shannon | 9.9% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 1.2% |
| Samuel Armington | 15.6% | 15.5% | 13.7% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Hana Zwick | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 6.4% | 2.9% |
| Cameron Douglas | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 3.9% |
| Kelly Stukbauer | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 7.0% |
| Andrew Scotti | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 6.9% |
| Derek Pearson | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 12.9% | 22.2% | 24.6% |
| Christopher Deleon | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 15.0% | 47.0% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 14.5% | 15.4% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.