Race 8A

saisa-south-points

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

27.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Hana Zwick 7.9% 8.4% 9.4% 10.8% 10.5% 12.8% 11.5% 11.2% 9.3% 6.3% 1.9%
Samuel Shannon 11.5% 9.5% 11.4% 11.4% 11.8% 11.5% 11.4% 8.6% 7.2% 4.8% 0.9%
Kelly Stukbauer 5.4% 5.1% 5.7% 5.7% 7.1% 9.5% 9.7% 11.9% 14.5% 15.8% 9.6%
David Hein 5.7% 7.7% 6.1% 7.0% 9.4% 10.2% 11.6% 13.8% 11.4% 10.8% 6.3%
Telmo Basterra 19.8% 17.3% 13.7% 12.5% 11.0% 8.9% 7.4% 4.1% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4%
Christopher Deleon 1.4% 1.8% 1.7% 3.0% 3.8% 3.8% 3.9% 6.3% 9.4% 16.1% 48.8%
Andrew Scotti 6.7% 6.9% 7.5% 8.0% 8.7% 8.5% 11.8% 10.6% 14.3% 10.2% 6.8%
Cameron Douglas 9.1% 8.1% 9.7% 12.0% 11.4% 9.9% 8.9% 10.4% 10.0% 7.3% 3.2%
Samuel Armington 15.0% 16.4% 16.1% 13.1% 9.2% 8.8% 9.4% 6.4% 3.2% 2.0% 0.4%
Derek Pearson 3.3% 4.1% 3.8% 3.7% 6.2% 6.1% 6.5% 10.4% 12.2% 22.6% 21.1%
Marina Barzaghi 14.2% 14.7% 14.9% 12.8% 10.9% 10.0% 7.9% 6.3% 5.0% 2.7% 0.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.