Race 9A

saisa-south-points

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Hana Zwick 7.5% 9.2% 10.3% 10.4% 9.5% 11.8% 13.3% 10.6% 8.8% 6.0% 2.6%
Marina Barzaghi 13.1% 15.1% 13.1% 11.6% 11.9% 10.5% 7.7% 9.4% 4.8% 2.1% 0.7%
Samuel Armington 14.6% 16.0% 15.1% 13.4% 12.2% 9.1% 7.3% 5.9% 4.3% 1.6% 0.5%
David Hein 6.5% 6.0% 7.3% 7.5% 9.1% 10.1% 11.1% 13.6% 11.0% 11.9% 5.9%
Telmo Basterra 20.1% 16.0% 14.4% 13.6% 8.9% 9.5% 8.0% 5.2% 2.5% 1.4% 0.4%
Samuel Shannon 11.0% 12.6% 10.0% 11.9% 12.0% 9.7% 9.6% 7.9% 8.0% 5.8% 1.5%
Andrew Scotti 7.0% 6.3% 8.2% 7.6% 9.7% 7.9% 11.8% 9.5% 14.4% 11.9% 5.7%
Derek Pearson 3.8% 2.9% 3.2% 4.4% 5.1% 7.9% 6.2% 8.8% 13.7% 20.3% 23.7%
Kelly Stukbauer 5.7% 5.3% 5.5% 6.2% 8.4% 8.6% 9.2% 13.2% 13.6% 15.0% 9.3%
Christopher Deleon 1.9% 1.7% 2.3% 3.4% 3.1% 3.7% 5.2% 6.5% 9.1% 15.9% 47.2%
Cameron Douglas 8.8% 8.9% 10.6% 10.0% 10.1% 11.2% 10.6% 9.4% 9.8% 8.1% 2.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.