Race 10A

saisa-south-points

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Marina Barzaghi 11.8% 13.1% 13.2% 13.5% 11.3% 11.2% 10.0% 7.1% 5.7% 2.6% 0.5%
Telmo Basterra 18.5% 17.7% 14.9% 12.5% 11.7% 9.8% 6.4% 5.0% 2.3% 1.2% 0.0%
Samuel Shannon 9.8% 9.7% 11.1% 11.4% 12.4% 10.4% 10.4% 9.3% 9.5% 5.2% 0.8%
Hana Zwick 8.9% 8.0% 8.7% 9.1% 11.0% 12.1% 11.4% 10.0% 10.9% 6.5% 3.4%
Samuel Armington 18.0% 16.2% 14.1% 12.1% 11.3% 8.7% 7.7% 5.3% 3.7% 2.5% 0.4%
Kelly Stukbauer 4.9% 6.2% 5.6% 7.0% 7.5% 8.7% 10.8% 11.4% 13.0% 14.2% 10.7%
David Hein 7.9% 7.3% 8.6% 9.3% 9.3% 8.9% 10.7% 13.0% 11.3% 9.1% 4.6%
Andrew Scotti 6.8% 6.4% 7.5% 8.2% 8.6% 10.3% 8.9% 12.5% 10.9% 13.3% 6.6%
Derek Pearson 3.0% 3.9% 3.5% 4.0% 4.1% 6.3% 7.0% 8.3% 13.6% 21.9% 24.4%
Christopher Deleon 1.8% 2.1% 2.3% 2.6% 2.6% 4.7% 4.4% 7.5% 9.4% 16.3% 46.3%
Cameron Douglas 8.6% 9.4% 10.5% 10.3% 10.2% 8.9% 12.3% 10.6% 9.7% 7.2% 2.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.