Race 11A

saisa-south-points

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Samuel Shannon 9.2% 10.3% 11.8% 11.2% 12.2% 10.9% 11.4% 10.5% 6.9% 4.2% 1.4%
Marina Barzaghi 14.4% 13.1% 14.9% 11.7% 9.9% 10.2% 9.5% 7.3% 6.0% 2.9% 0.1%
Telmo Basterra 16.1% 18.1% 13.6% 13.0% 11.0% 9.0% 8.6% 6.2% 3.0% 0.9% 0.5%
Samuel Armington 17.0% 13.0% 14.2% 15.1% 12.1% 9.6% 7.3% 6.3% 3.2% 1.5% 0.7%
David Hein 7.9% 7.0% 7.8% 8.9% 8.9% 8.3% 9.5% 12.5% 11.5% 11.6% 6.1%
Kelly Stukbauer 5.1% 6.0% 6.8% 6.5% 7.0% 9.3% 10.0% 11.8% 13.5% 13.5% 10.5%
Derek Pearson 3.7% 4.6% 1.9% 4.2% 6.8% 6.7% 6.8% 8.3% 14.6% 20.9% 21.5%
Andrew Scotti 6.7% 6.4% 6.4% 9.7% 9.3% 8.2% 11.0% 9.9% 12.4% 12.9% 7.1%
Cameron Douglas 8.1% 8.7% 8.2% 8.8% 9.7% 12.7% 9.7% 11.8% 9.8% 7.7% 4.8%
Christopher Deleon 2.2% 1.7% 2.5% 2.6% 3.0% 4.0% 4.2% 6.4% 10.0% 18.6% 44.8%
Hana Zwick 9.6% 11.1% 11.9% 8.3% 10.1% 11.1% 12.0% 9.0% 9.1% 5.3% 2.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.