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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.20+4.84vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.83+3.91vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.72+0.56vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.69-0.33vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.28-0.32vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.41-1.62vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.90-3.82vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.98-2.57vs Predicted
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10McGill University0.52+0.51vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University0.57-0.51vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.69-4.73vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut-0.32-0.48vs Predicted
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14Bates College-1.12+0.05vs Predicted
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15Wesleyan University-0.26-2.65vs Predicted
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16Fairfield University0.64-5.63vs Predicted
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18Sacred Heart University-1.60-3.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.84Tufts University2.200.1%1st Place
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6.91University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
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4.56University of Rhode Island2.720.2%1st Place
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4.67Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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5.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.280.1%1st Place
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5.38Yale University2.410.1%1st Place
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4.18Yale University2.900.2%1st Place
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6.43Boston University1.980.1%1st Place
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10.51McGill University0.520.0%1st Place
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10.49Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
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7.27Salve Regina University1.690.1%1st Place
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12.52University of Connecticut-0.320.0%1st Place
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14.05Bates College-1.120.0%1st Place
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12.35Wesleyan University-0.260.0%1st Place
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10.37Fairfield University0.640.0%1st Place
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14.78Sacred Heart University-1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Keller | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kimberly Morecraft | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 15.6% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Franco Bilik | 13.2% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jesse McKnight | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Claire Huebner | 10.3% | 8.8% | 13.9% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 17.2% | 16.7% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Honke | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Ker | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 17.5% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 5.1% | 1.1% |
| Ben Palmer | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 15.8% | 15.7% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 1.3% |
| Brian Baker | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Enoc Escobar | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 10.7% | 14.9% | 22.3% | 16.6% | 9.6% |
| Hannah Lucas | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 10.7% | 14.6% | 28.9% | 29.3% |
| Simon Rothman | 0.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 12.6% | 17.4% | 19.1% | 16.8% | 6.8% |
| Lillian Vincens | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 15.1% | 14.8% | 9.1% | 4.7% | 0.9% |
| Graham Hughes | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 11.5% | 22.6% | 51.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.