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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University4.78+6.10vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49+6.29vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.70+8.81vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.62+7.63vs Predicted
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5Boston University4.07+4.82vs Predicted
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6Harvard University4.52+1.91vs Predicted
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7Boston College4.89-0.55vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+2.97vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.70+2.51vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.66+1.92vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston4.34-2.12vs Predicted
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12Brown University4.49-3.52vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College4.06-3.23vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University3.92-3.81vs Predicted
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15Yale University4.19-5.71vs Predicted
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16Stanford University4.05-5.98vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63-9.37vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College4.15-8.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.1Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
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8.29Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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11.81Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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11.63University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
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9.82Boston University4.070.0%1st Place
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7.91Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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6.45Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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10.97St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.0%1st Place
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11.51Old Dominion University3.700.0%1st Place
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11.92U. S. Naval Academy3.660.0%1st Place
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8.88College of Charleston4.340.1%1st Place
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8.48Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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9.77Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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10.19Salve Regina University3.920.0%1st Place
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9.29Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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10.02Stanford University4.050.0%1st Place
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7.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
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9.32SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cy Thompson | 8.5% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Samuel Blouin | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Massimo Soriano | 2.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 12.6% |
| Coleman Bowen | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 14.4% |
| Ben Greenfield | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% |
| Alan Palmer | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Tyler Sinks | 10.7% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Megan Magill | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 9.3% |
| Brady Stagg | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 10.3% |
| Jason Carminati | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 14.4% |
| Jackson Benvenutti | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% |
| Fred Strammer | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% |
| Sam Williams | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% |
| Joseph Morris | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.1% |
| Kevin Laube | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% |
| Samuel Ingham | 9.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Shawn Murray | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.