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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Chicago0.55+2.82vs Predicted
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2Marquette University-0.09+3.34vs Predicted
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3University of Saint Thomas-0.03+2.40vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan-1.34+4.87vs Predicted
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5Indiana University0.20-0.29vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-0.49-1.15vs Predicted
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7Hope College-0.77+0.23vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-0.55-1.33vs Predicted
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9Michigan State University-0.44-2.80vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin-1.89+0.09vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University-1.44-1.84vs Predicted
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12Lake Forest College-2.49-0.69vs Predicted
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13Washington University-0.80-5.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.82University of Chicago0.5519.6%1st Place
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5.34Marquette University-0.0911.5%1st Place
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5.4University of Saint Thomas-0.0310.7%1st Place
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8.87University of Michigan-1.342.9%1st Place
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4.71Indiana University0.2011.9%1st Place
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4.85Purdue University-0.4912.7%1st Place
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7.23Hope College-0.774.9%1st Place
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6.67Northwestern University-0.556.6%1st Place
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6.2Michigan State University-0.448.6%1st Place
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10.09University of Wisconsin-1.891.5%1st Place
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9.16Northwestern University-1.442.5%1st Place
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11.31Lake Forest College-2.491.1%1st Place
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7.34Washington University-0.805.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Leavitt | 19.6% | 18.0% | 14.8% | 13.8% | 11.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eli Erling | 11.5% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 10.7% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Calistoga Frerker | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 15.4% | 16.2% | 9.4% |
| Sunny Sun | 11.9% | 14.7% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nok In Chan | 12.7% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ella Sligh | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 2.5% |
| Samantha Forgosh | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 1.2% |
| Ryan Dodge | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Jack Cropper | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 13.9% | 23.9% | 22.4% |
| Luke Sadalla | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 16.8% | 16.9% | 12.0% |
| Van Baghdasaryan | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 10.3% | 19.1% | 48.5% |
| Jacob Hsia | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.