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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.20+4.83vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.72+2.53vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.41+2.34vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.90+0.14vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.98+1.52vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.69+1.43vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.69-2.29vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.83-1.12vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.28-3.30vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University0.57+0.45vs Predicted
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12McGill University0.52-1.50vs Predicted
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13Fairfield University0.64-2.73vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut-0.32-1.50vs Predicted
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15Wesleyan University-0.26-2.66vs Predicted
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16Bates College-1.12-1.92vs Predicted
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18Sacred Heart University-1.60-3.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.83Tufts University2.200.1%1st Place
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4.53University of Rhode Island2.720.2%1st Place
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5.34Yale University2.410.1%1st Place
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4.14Yale University2.900.2%1st Place
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6.52Boston University1.980.1%1st Place
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7.43Salve Regina University1.690.0%1st Place
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4.71Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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6.88University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
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5.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.280.1%1st Place
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10.45Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
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10.5McGill University0.520.0%1st Place
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10.27Fairfield University0.640.0%1st Place
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12.5University of Connecticut-0.320.0%1st Place
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12.34Wesleyan University-0.260.0%1st Place
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14.08Bates College-1.120.0%1st Place
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14.78Sacred Heart University-1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Keller | 8.1% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 15.4% | 14.7% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Claire Huebner | 11.9% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 17.0% | 15.7% | 14.7% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Honke | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Baker | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Franco Bilik | 14.9% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kimberly Morecraft | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jesse McKnight | 9.3% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Palmer | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 16.9% | 15.2% | 10.5% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| Hannah Ker | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 9.0% | 14.0% | 15.7% | 14.8% | 11.2% | 5.5% | 0.9% |
| Lillian Vincens | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 15.1% | 15.5% | 9.2% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
| Enoc Escobar | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 14.8% | 21.9% | 18.1% | 7.1% |
| Simon Rothman | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 16.5% | 20.1% | 16.0% | 6.9% |
| Hannah Lucas | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 14.8% | 31.1% | 30.0% |
| Graham Hughes | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 10.2% | 20.4% | 53.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.