Race 4A

salt-pond-invite

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Christopher Keller 8.8% 9.2% 10.6% 8.9% 10.9% 8.5% 11.1% 9.5% 8.3% 6.6% 4.2% 2.3% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Charles Honke 6.3% 9.3% 8.5% 8.6% 6.8% 8.1% 11.0% 10.5% 9.6% 9.0% 7.2% 2.5% 1.8% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Patrick Isherwood 15.7% 12.0% 13.9% 12.3% 11.3% 11.1% 8.3% 6.3% 4.7% 2.6% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Franco Bilik 12.8% 14.0% 12.7% 12.0% 11.6% 11.3% 8.4% 6.6% 6.0% 3.2% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Claire Huebner 10.9% 10.2% 10.3% 10.5% 12.1% 10.1% 9.1% 8.9% 7.9% 5.1% 3.1% 1.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kimberly Morecraft 5.3% 4.9% 7.2% 7.9% 9.4% 8.2% 9.4% 10.2% 11.5% 9.4% 7.5% 5.9% 2.3% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Marwell 17.5% 15.9% 13.8% 12.6% 9.6% 9.4% 7.1% 6.6% 4.8% 1.4% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jesse McKnight 10.2% 9.5% 10.2% 9.7% 11.0% 9.7% 10.8% 8.6% 8.9% 5.2% 3.5% 2.0% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brian Baker 5.5% 5.9% 5.9% 6.2% 6.4% 9.7% 9.9% 11.2% 9.1% 11.0% 9.7% 5.3% 2.6% 1.0% 0.6% 0.0%
Ben Palmer 1.8% 2.0% 1.8% 2.9% 2.0% 3.5% 2.7% 4.4% 6.6% 11.7% 12.8% 17.4% 15.3% 10.4% 3.9% 0.8%
Lillian Vincens 2.1% 2.7% 1.5% 3.5% 2.8% 3.2% 4.4% 5.4% 6.7% 10.1% 15.3% 14.1% 13.7% 9.3% 4.6% 0.6%
Hannah Ker 1.4% 1.9% 1.7% 2.4% 2.8% 3.9% 2.9% 5.5% 6.9% 10.2% 11.1% 15.2% 16.7% 10.1% 6.1% 1.2%
Enoc Escobar 0.8% 0.4% 0.7% 0.8% 1.1% 1.1% 2.3% 2.5% 2.7% 5.6% 8.4% 11.8% 15.6% 21.1% 17.9% 7.2%
Simon Rothman 0.6% 1.2% 0.5% 0.9% 1.3% 1.3% 1.7% 2.0% 4.4% 6.3% 8.8% 11.8% 15.9% 20.9% 15.5% 6.9%
Hannah Lucas 0.3% 0.8% 0.5% 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.5% 0.9% 1.4% 1.2% 3.6% 5.0% 8.3% 15.0% 31.0% 30.0%
Graham Hughes 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.9% 0.5% 1.4% 2.3% 3.9% 5.1% 10.4% 20.4% 53.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.