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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.69+3.55vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.72+2.50vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.41+2.35vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.20+2.02vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.98+1.48vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.69+1.44vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.57+3.45vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.28-2.44vs Predicted
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10McGill University0.52+0.50vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.83-4.02vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.90-7.91vs Predicted
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13Wesleyan University-0.26-0.59vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut-0.32-1.49vs Predicted
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15Bates College-1.12-0.98vs Predicted
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16Fairfield University0.64-5.64vs Predicted
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18Sacred Heart University-1.60-3.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.55Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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4.5University of Rhode Island2.720.2%1st Place
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5.35Yale University2.410.1%1st Place
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6.02Tufts University2.200.1%1st Place
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6.48Boston University1.980.1%1st Place
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7.44Salve Regina University1.690.0%1st Place
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10.45Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
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5.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.280.1%1st Place
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10.5McGill University0.520.0%1st Place
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6.98University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
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4.09Yale University2.900.2%1st Place
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12.41Wesleyan University-0.260.0%1st Place
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12.51University of Connecticut-0.320.0%1st Place
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14.02Bates College-1.120.0%1st Place
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10.36Fairfield University0.640.0%1st Place
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14.78Sacred Heart University-1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franco Bilik | 14.7% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 11.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 15.6% | 14.4% | 14.1% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Claire Huebner | 10.6% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Keller | 7.5% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Honke | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brian Baker | 4.5% | 3.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ben Palmer | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 13.4% | 15.6% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 4.9% | 1.1% |
| Jesse McKnight | 10.3% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Ker | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 14.9% | 15.2% | 13.7% | 10.5% | 4.9% | 1.6% |
| Kimberly Morecraft | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 18.5% | 16.0% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Simon Rothman | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 17.0% | 19.7% | 16.9% | 8.1% |
| Enoc Escobar | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 16.7% | 19.9% | 17.2% | 8.3% |
| Hannah Lucas | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 15.7% | 29.4% | 28.2% |
| Lillian Vincens | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 14.6% | 15.8% | 15.8% | 8.4% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Graham Hughes | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 10.1% | 22.4% | 51.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.