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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.20+4.79vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.70+2.56vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.90+1.11vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.34+1.61vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.72-0.44vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.83+1.03vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.28-1.25vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.98-1.56vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University0.57+0.35vs Predicted
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11University of Connecticut-0.32+1.54vs Predicted
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12Fairfield University0.64-1.81vs Predicted
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13McGill University0.52-2.45vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.69-6.74vs Predicted
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16Bates College-1.12-2.01vs Predicted
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17Wesleyan University-0.26-4.53vs Predicted
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18Sacred Heart University-1.60-3.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.79Tufts University2.200.1%1st Place
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4.56Brown University2.700.2%1st Place
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4.11Yale University2.900.2%1st Place
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5.61Yale University2.340.1%1st Place
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4.56University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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7.03University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
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5.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.280.1%1st Place
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6.44Boston University1.980.1%1st Place
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10.35Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
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12.54University of Connecticut-0.320.0%1st Place
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10.19Fairfield University0.640.0%1st Place
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10.55McGill University0.520.0%1st Place
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7.26Salve Regina University1.690.0%1st Place
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13.99Bates College-1.120.0%1st Place
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12.47Wesleyan University-0.260.0%1st Place
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14.78Sacred Heart University-1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Keller | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Andersen | 15.7% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 18.6% | 13.2% | 16.1% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Champa | 9.4% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 13.7% | 15.4% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kimberly Morecraft | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jesse McKnight | 10.8% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Honke | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Palmer | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 14.8% | 15.8% | 13.9% | 9.7% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Enoc Escobar | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 12.0% | 16.5% | 22.1% | 17.4% | 8.3% |
| Lillian Vincens | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 16.6% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 4.5% | 0.7% |
| Hannah Ker | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 16.8% | 11.4% | 4.9% | 1.2% |
| Brian Baker | 3.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Lucas | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 14.9% | 29.3% | 28.0% |
| Simon Rothman | 0.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 11.7% | 16.4% | 21.5% | 17.0% | 7.8% |
| Graham Hughes | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 23.2% | 52.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.