Race 7A

salt-pond-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Christopher Keller 9.2% 10.0% 10.1% 10.7% 10.5% 10.7% 10.2% 8.7% 9.1% 4.3% 4.4% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Champa 11.1% 11.5% 10.2% 11.0% 10.9% 10.9% 8.1% 9.9% 7.2% 4.6% 2.6% 1.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Patrick Isherwood 16.9% 12.0% 13.7% 13.2% 12.1% 10.9% 8.1% 6.4% 3.3% 1.6% 0.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Kimberly Morecraft 6.0% 6.1% 6.8% 7.8% 8.7% 8.6% 10.3% 11.0% 10.8% 10.3% 6.7% 4.8% 1.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Quinn Andersen 13.3% 15.9% 14.1% 11.7% 11.5% 9.2% 9.1% 6.8% 3.9% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jesse McKnight 8.7% 9.8% 11.4% 10.9% 10.0% 12.2% 9.3% 8.7% 6.9% 6.2% 3.6% 1.7% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Ben Palmer 1.8% 2.8% 2.7% 1.7% 3.5% 3.3% 5.2% 5.8% 6.5% 9.4% 13.1% 13.7% 14.7% 10.4% 4.6% 0.8%
Nicholas Marwell 19.4% 17.1% 15.1% 12.4% 11.7% 8.3% 6.6% 3.6% 3.2% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hannah Ker 1.8% 1.9% 2.7% 2.8% 2.1% 3.5% 4.3% 6.1% 7.7% 11.1% 11.9% 14.5% 13.5% 10.2% 4.5% 1.4%
Brian Baker 5.0% 5.4% 6.5% 6.3% 7.8% 8.1% 10.6% 12.8% 11.2% 11.0% 7.1% 5.0% 2.2% 0.9% 0.0% 0.1%
Andrew Reed 3.6% 3.7% 2.7% 4.3% 4.5% 5.3% 7.1% 7.3% 11.0% 12.5% 11.9% 11.6% 8.4% 3.7% 2.1% 0.3%
Enoc Escobar 0.5% 0.7% 0.7% 1.8% 1.0% 1.3% 2.5% 2.6% 3.3% 5.9% 8.2% 10.3% 14.3% 21.3% 16.0% 9.6%
Lillian Vincens 1.8% 1.2% 2.1% 3.6% 3.5% 4.3% 5.3% 6.1% 9.1% 10.2% 14.7% 13.0% 12.3% 7.4% 4.4% 1.0%
Hannah Lucas 0.0% 0.3% 0.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.7% 1.4% 0.9% 2.5% 1.3% 3.7% 7.0% 9.4% 15.5% 28.2% 27.6%
Simon Rothman 0.9% 1.5% 0.6% 0.7% 1.2% 2.0% 1.6% 2.6% 3.3% 6.1% 7.8% 10.1% 15.9% 20.9% 16.8% 8.0%
Graham Hughes 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.7% 1.0% 1.0% 1.7% 4.0% 6.0% 8.8% 23.3% 51.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.