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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hope College-0.77+6.12vs Predicted
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2University of Chicago0.55+1.73vs Predicted
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3Indiana University0.20+1.62vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-0.55+2.54vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-0.09+0.39vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-0.49-1.07vs Predicted
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7University of Saint Thomas-0.03-1.59vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-0.44-2.00vs Predicted
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9Washington University-0.80-1.71vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin-1.89+0.06vs Predicted
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11Lake Forest College-2.49+0.22vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan-1.71-2.42vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University-1.44-3.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.12Hope College-0.775.9%1st Place
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3.73University of Chicago0.5519.8%1st Place
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4.62Indiana University0.2013.7%1st Place
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6.54Northwestern University-0.556.9%1st Place
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5.39Marquette University-0.0910.2%1st Place
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4.93Purdue University-0.4911.9%1st Place
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5.41University of Saint Thomas-0.0310.3%1st Place
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6.0Michigan State University-0.448.3%1st Place
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7.29Washington University-0.805.4%1st Place
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10.06University of Wisconsin-1.891.5%1st Place
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11.22Lake Forest College-2.490.7%1st Place
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9.58University of Michigan-1.712.9%1st Place
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9.11Northwestern University-1.442.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ella Sligh | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 1.7% |
| James Leavitt | 19.8% | 18.1% | 15.8% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sunny Sun | 13.7% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Samantha Forgosh | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Eli Erling | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Nok In Chan | 11.9% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Dodge | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Jacob Hsia | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 2.6% |
| Jack Cropper | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 15.7% | 22.2% | 21.3% |
| Van Baghdasaryan | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 10.8% | 19.2% | 46.0% |
| Andrew Beute | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 16.0% | 20.2% | 15.7% |
| Luke Sadalla | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 16.3% | 17.3% | 9.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.