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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63+6.70vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+9.35vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.89+3.65vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.19+5.28vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University3.92+5.47vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49+2.10vs Predicted
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7Harvard University4.52+0.93vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.70+3.40vs Predicted
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9Brown University4.49-1.05vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University4.78-2.91vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont3.62+0.91vs Predicted
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12Stanford University4.05-1.65vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College4.06-3.26vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy3.66-2.66vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston4.34-6.32vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College4.15-6.33vs Predicted
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17Boston University4.07-6.94vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University3.70-6.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
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11.35St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.0%1st Place
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6.65Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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9.28Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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10.47Salve Regina University3.920.0%1st Place
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8.1Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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7.93Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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11.4Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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7.95Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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7.09Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
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11.91University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
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10.35Stanford University4.050.0%1st Place
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9.74Dartmouth College4.060.0%1st Place
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11.34U. S. Naval Academy3.660.0%1st Place
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8.68College of Charleston4.340.1%1st Place
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9.67SUNY Maritime College4.150.0%1st Place
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10.06Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
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11.32Old Dominion University3.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Ingham | 7.3% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Megan Magill | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.3% |
| Tyler Sinks | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| Joseph Morris | 5.9% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% |
| Samuel Blouin | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% |
| Alan Palmer | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Massimo Soriano | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 12.2% |
| Fred Strammer | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% |
| Cy Thompson | 10.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Coleman Bowen | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 13.8% |
| Kevin Laube | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% |
| Sam Williams | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% |
| Jason Carminati | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 11.8% |
| Jackson Benvenutti | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.5% |
| Shawn Murray | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% |
| Ben Greenfield | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.0% |
| Brady Stagg | 3.6% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 10.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.