← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
13.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University3.14+2.14vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island2.20+3.23vs Predicted
-
3Yale University-0.08+8.06vs Predicted
-
4Northeastern University1.78+2.46vs Predicted
-
5Boston University2.51-0.36vs Predicted
-
6Salve Regina University1.39+1.63vs Predicted
-
7McGill University0.73+2.26vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26-2.77vs Predicted
-
9Brown University2.20-3.70vs Predicted
-
10University of Rhode Island2.02-4.10vs Predicted
-
12Wesleyan University0.55-2.26vs Predicted
-
13Yale University1.57-5.73vs Predicted
-
15Bates College-0.11-3.69vs Predicted
-
16University of Connecticut-1.58-2.48vs Predicted
-
17Sacred Heart University-2.40-2.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.14Tufts University3.140.3%1st Place
-
5.23University of Rhode Island2.200.1%1st Place
-
11.06Yale University-0.080.0%1st Place
-
6.46Northeastern University1.780.1%1st Place
-
4.64Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
-
7.63Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
-
9.26McGill University0.730.0%1st Place
-
5.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.1%1st Place
-
5.3Brown University2.200.1%1st Place
-
5.9University of Rhode Island2.020.1%1st Place
-
9.74Wesleyan University0.550.0%1st Place
-
7.27Yale University1.570.0%1st Place
-
11.31Bates College-0.110.0%1st Place
-
13.52University of Connecticut-1.580.0%1st Place
-
14.3Sacred Heart University-2.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson McCoy | 26.1% | 24.6% | 14.5% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Moffitt | 10.2% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Buehler | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 11.3% | 21.4% | 24.6% | 12.3% | 1.8% |
| Caleb Niles | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Moreno | 15.0% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline King | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Zach Zeelander | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 17.6% | 14.4% | 9.7% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Walter Gnann | 11.6% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Housberg | 9.5% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kylie Castellano | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 12.3% | 16.4% | 15.4% | 13.7% | 5.1% | 0.7% |
| Martin Tipton | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ian Rashleigh McNally | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 18.4% | 28.1% | 14.7% | 2.1% |
| Samuel Gray | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 12.2% | 43.0% | 28.8% |
| Tom Coughlin | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 21.0% | 66.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.