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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.59+6.27vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96+1.96vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.72+1.21vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.50-1.14vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.81-2.53vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.96-0.62vs Predicted
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7Hampton University3.02-3.32vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland-0.35-0.75vs Predicted
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10Virginia Tech0.59-2.73vs Predicted
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11William and Mary0.87-4.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.27Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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3.96St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.1%1st Place
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4.21George Washington University2.720.1%1st Place
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2.86Old Dominion University3.500.2%1st Place
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2.47Georgetown University3.810.4%1st Place
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5.38Christopher Newport University1.960.1%1st Place
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3.68Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
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8.25University of Maryland-0.350.0%1st Place
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7.27Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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6.92William and Mary0.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Magno | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 9.2% | 20.5% | 36.4% | 21.5% | 0.0% |
| Edmund Cooper | 9.1% | 14.4% | 17.1% | 20.3% | 18.8% | 12.6% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 9.5% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 15.3% | 22.4% | 16.7% | 7.8% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 23.6% | 24.0% | 19.5% | 16.4% | 10.2% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Segerblom | 35.3% | 23.7% | 17.4% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vir Menon | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 27.2% | 21.3% | 7.6% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 13.4% | 15.5% | 18.2% | 19.3% | 16.6% | 10.8% | 5.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Jones | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 7.9% | 19.6% | 63.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 9.2% | 20.5% | 36.4% | 21.5% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 2.2% | 1.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 11.0% | 28.9% | 31.9% | 12.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.