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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.50+1.95vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.96+3.57vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96+0.82vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.81-1.57vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.72-0.91vs Predicted
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6William and Mary0.87+0.93vs Predicted
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7Hampton University3.02-3.27vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech0.59-0.72vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland-0.35-0.80vs Predicted
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10Virginia Tech0.59-2.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.95Old Dominion University3.500.2%1st Place
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5.57Christopher Newport University1.960.0%1st Place
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3.82St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.1%1st Place
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2.43Georgetown University3.810.3%1st Place
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4.09George Washington University2.720.1%1st Place
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6.93William and Mary0.870.0%1st Place
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3.73Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
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7.28Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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8.2University of Maryland-0.350.0%1st Place
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7.28Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Herrin | 23.1% | 22.1% | 19.7% | 17.1% | 10.7% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vir Menon | 3.5% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 10.1% | 17.3% | 27.0% | 19.9% | 9.2% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Edmund Cooper | 13.3% | 13.7% | 16.8% | 17.6% | 18.7% | 13.1% | 5.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean Segerblom | 33.1% | 26.1% | 19.7% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 11.1% | 13.6% | 14.6% | 17.7% | 15.5% | 16.6% | 8.4% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 10.9% | 29.0% | 30.4% | 13.6% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 12.4% | 16.5% | 17.2% | 18.6% | 17.2% | 12.6% | 4.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 8.7% | 22.2% | 34.2% | 22.2% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Jones | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 21.7% | 61.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 8.7% | 22.2% | 34.2% | 22.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.