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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.81+1.52vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96+1.97vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.72+1.21vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech0.59+3.26vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.96+0.29vs Predicted
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6Hampton University3.02-2.35vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.50-4.04vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech0.59-0.74vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland-0.35-1.76vs Predicted
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11William and Mary0.87-4.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.52Georgetown University3.810.3%1st Place
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3.97St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.1%1st Place
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4.21George Washington University2.720.1%1st Place
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7.26Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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5.29Christopher Newport University1.960.1%1st Place
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3.65Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
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2.96Old Dominion University3.500.2%1st Place
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7.26Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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8.24University of Maryland-0.350.0%1st Place
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6.92William and Mary0.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Segerblom | 31.6% | 26.6% | 17.4% | 12.2% | 8.3% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edmund Cooper | 11.2% | 13.8% | 16.0% | 18.6% | 17.5% | 14.2% | 6.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 10.2% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 16.9% | 17.4% | 18.2% | 9.1% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 10.1% | 21.5% | 35.2% | 20.9% | 0.0% |
| Vir Menon | 5.3% | 5.9% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 14.7% | 22.7% | 18.4% | 10.5% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 14.5% | 15.2% | 17.6% | 19.2% | 17.0% | 12.1% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 23.6% | 22.1% | 19.0% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 5.7% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 10.1% | 21.5% | 35.2% | 20.9% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Jones | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 9.0% | 19.1% | 63.2% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 10.5% | 30.1% | 30.3% | 13.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.