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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.81+1.51vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.96+3.54vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.72+1.23vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.50-1.10vs Predicted
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5Hampton University3.02-1.40vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96-2.25vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland-0.35+0.30vs Predicted
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9Virginia Tech0.59-1.75vs Predicted
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10William and Mary0.87-3.08vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech0.59-3.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.51Georgetown University3.810.3%1st Place
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5.54Christopher Newport University1.960.0%1st Place
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4.23George Washington University2.720.1%1st Place
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2.9Old Dominion University3.500.2%1st Place
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3.6Hampton University3.020.2%1st Place
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3.75St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.1%1st Place
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8.3University of Maryland-0.350.0%1st Place
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7.25Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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6.92William and Mary0.870.0%1st Place
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7.25Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Segerblom | 32.3% | 25.1% | 18.3% | 13.2% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vir Menon | 3.4% | 3.8% | 7.2% | 12.0% | 14.7% | 25.7% | 21.6% | 10.0% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 9.5% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 16.4% | 21.2% | 17.5% | 8.0% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 23.0% | 22.9% | 20.6% | 16.7% | 10.6% | 4.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 15.1% | 18.6% | 16.9% | 14.9% | 16.3% | 12.6% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Edmund Cooper | 13.4% | 13.6% | 18.1% | 18.6% | 18.8% | 11.5% | 5.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Jones | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 8.2% | 18.5% | 65.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 9.2% | 22.3% | 34.9% | 21.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 11.3% | 28.7% | 32.2% | 12.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 9.2% | 22.3% | 34.9% | 21.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.